Apr 12, 2026 6.00am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Aziz Behich 27'
Max Caputo 73'
Kavian Rahmani 73'
Marcus Younis 76'
Medin Memeti 77'
Mathew Leckie 83'

Matt Sheridan 46'
Sander Kartum 62'
Luke Brooke-Smith 73'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 80'
Carlo Armiento 80'

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

W
W
D
W
D
D

Australian A-League

W
W
D
W
L
L

Last game

Apr 7, 2026 10.00am

Melbourne City 2 - 1 Central Coast

Goals scored

29

Top scorer

Marcus Younis

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

W
W
W
D
L
L

Australian A-League

W
W
W
D
L
L

Last game

Apr 5, 2026 6.00am

Victory 0 - 1 Wellington

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Eze Kelvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.91% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 55.1% ▼ (-0.19)

Draw 22.91% ▲ (+0.09)

Wellington Phoenix 21.99% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score:

55.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 21.23% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 2.5 56.03% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 2.5 43.97% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 3.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.34)

Under 3.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.35)

Over 4.5 20.28% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 4.5 79.72% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 42.39%

Draw 38.5%

Wellington Phoenix 19.11%

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 62.97% ▼ (-0.04)

No Goal 5.42% ▲ (+0.05)

Wellington Phoenix 31.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.91% ▼ (-0.20)

Equal 8 11.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 26.97% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 9 50.21% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 9 11.7% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 9 38.09% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 10.5 38.93% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 10.5 61.07% ▲ (+0.15)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 53.75% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 1.5 46.25% ▲ (+0.28)

Over 2.5 27.14% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 2.5 72.86% ▲ (+0.33)

Over 3.5 11.3% ▼ (-0.19)

Under 3.5 88.7% ▲ (+0.19)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 0.5 40.8% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 91.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 97.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 55.09%

Draw 22.91%

Wellington Phoenix 21.99%

Melbourne City

2-1 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.09)

1-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.07)

3-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.17)

Total : 55.09%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.09)

2-2 @ 5.43%

0-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 22.91%

Wellington Phoenix

0-1 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)

1-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 1.01%

Other @ 2.37%

Total : 21.99%

Head to Head

Jan 30, 2026 6.00am

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Eze Kelvin 23'
Eze Kelvin 52'
Corban Piper 64'
Sander Kartum 64'
Nikola Mileusnic 75'
Matthew Sheridan 75'
N. Mileusnić 75'
Matt Sheridan 75'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 89'
Manjrekar James 90'+2'

Andreas Kuen 54'
Benjamin Mazzeo 54'
Marcus Younis 54'
Takeshi Kanamori 54'
Peter Antoniou 72'
Marcus Younis 73'
Medin Memeti 77'
Liam Bonetig 84'
Lawrence Wong 89'
Lawrence Wong 90'

Feb 28, 2025 6.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Alex Rufer 70'

Marco Tilio 51'
Kai Trewin 76'

Jan 3, 2025 6.00am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Harry Politidis 7'
Harry Politidis 7'
Kai Trewin 61'
Kai Trewin 61'
Nathaniel Atkinson 83'
Nathaniel Atkinson 83'

Mar 9, 2024 8.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT AAMI Park

James Jeggo 15'
James Jeggo 15'
Samuel Souprayen 58'
Samuel Souprayen 58'
Samuel Souprayen 72'
Samuel Souprayen 72'
Andrew Nabbout 79'
Marin Jakolis 84'

Youstin Salas 34'
Youstin Salas 34'
Kosta Barbarouses 70'
Kosta Barbarouses 70'
Alex Rufer 82'

Nov 25, 2023 3.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Bozhidar Kraev 48'
Bozhidar Kraev 48'
Bozhidar Kraev 72'
Bozhidar Kraev 72'

Curtis Good 68'
Curtis Good 68'

Apr 10, 2023 7.00am

4

1

HT : 1 0

FT AAMI Park

Jamie MacLaren 34'
Jamie MacLaren 52'
Marco Tilio 57'
Marco Tilio 83'

Steven Ugarkovic 49'

Form Data

Melbourne City 2 - 1 Central Coast

Melbourne City 3 - 0 Western Sydney

Perth Glory 1 - 1 Melbourne City

Sydney FC 0 - 1 Melbourne City

Buriram Utd 0 - 0 Melbourne City

Melbourne City 1 - 1 Buriram Utd

Victory 0 - 1 Wellington

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 0 Perth Glory

Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington

Wellington 0 - 1 Sydney FC

Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC