Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Melbourne City
Apr 12, 2026 6.00am
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Wellington

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 10.00am
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Central Coast
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Max Caputo

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 6.00am
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Eze Kelvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw has a probability of 22.82% and a win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.6%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it is 0-1 (5.65%).

Result

Melbourne City 55.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.82%
Wellington Phoenix 21.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.61% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.45% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 42.39%
Draw 38.5%
Wellington Phoenix 19.11%

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 63% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Wellington Phoenix 31.62%

Corners

Over 8 62.1% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 8 11.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 26.79% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 9 50.39% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 37.9% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 10.5 39.07% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 60.93% ▲ (+0.25)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 54.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 45.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 72.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 59.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 40.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 26.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 55.29%
Draw 22.83%
Wellington Phoenix 21.85%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.31%
Total : 55.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.83%
Wellington Phoenix
0-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Wellington
Jan 30, 2026 6.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Eze Kelvin 23' goal
  • Eze Kelvin 52' goal
  • Corban Piper 64' yellowcard
  • Sander Kartum 64' yellowcard
  • Nikola Mileusnic 75' yellowcard
  • Matthew Sheridan 75' yellowcard
  • N. Mileusnić 75' yellowcard
  • Matt Sheridan 75' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kelly-Heald 89' yellowcard
  • Manjrekar James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 54'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mazzeo 54'
  • yellowcard Marcus Younis 54'
  • yellowcard Takeshi Kanamori 54'
  • yellowcard Peter Antoniou 72'
  • goal Marcus Younis 73'
  • goal Medin Memeti 77'
  • yellowcard Liam Bonetig 84'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 89'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Wellington
Feb 28, 2025 6.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Alex Rufer 70' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 51'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Melbourne City
Jan 3, 2025 6.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Wellington
  • Harry Politidis 7' goal
  • Harry Politidis 7' goal
  • Kai Trewin 61' yellowcard
  • Kai Trewin 61' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 83' goal
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 83' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
Mar 9, 2024 8.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
Wellington
  • James Jeggo 15' yellowcard
  • James Jeggo 15' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 58' goal
  • Samuel Souprayen 58' goal
  • Samuel Souprayen 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 72' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 79' yellowcard
  • Marin Jakolis 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 34'
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 34'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 70'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 70'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 82'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Wellington
Nov 25, 2023 3.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Bozhidar Kraev 48' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 48' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 72' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 68'
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 68'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Melbourne City
Apr 10, 2023 7.00am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Wellington
  • Jamie MacLaren 34' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 52' goal
  • Marco Tilio 57' goal
  • Marco Tilio 83' goal
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 49'

Form Data

Melbourne City 2 - 1 Central Coast
Melbourne City 3 - 0 Western Sydney
Perth Glory 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Sydney FC 0 - 1 Melbourne City
Buriram Utd 0 - 0 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 1 - 1 Buriram Utd
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington
Wellington 2 - 0 Perth Glory
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington
Wellington 0 - 1 Sydney FC
Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC