Apr 5, 2026 6.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Jason Davidson 22'
Charles Nduka 46'
Louis D'Arrigo 68'
Matthew Grimaldi 68'
Reno Piscopo 68'
Clarismario 88'

Lukas Kelly-Heald 61'
Sander Kartum 73'
Fin Conchie 83'
Carlo Armiento 84'
Luke Brooke-Smith 84'
Sander Kartum 89'
Manjrekar James 90'+1'

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

W
W
D
D
W
D

Australian A-League

W
W
D
D
W
D

Last game

Mar 21, 2026 6.10am

Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Nikolaos Vergos

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

W
W
D
L
L
D

Australian A-League

W
W
D
L
L
D

Last game

Mar 21, 2026 4.00am

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Eze Kelvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.83% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 60.57% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 20.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Wellington Phoenix 18.6% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score:

56.99% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.54% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 18.46% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 2.5 60.62% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 2.5 39.38% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 3.5 38.86% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 61.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 24.98%

Under 4.5 75.02%

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 44.78% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 36.21% ▼ (-0.04)

Wellington Phoenix 19.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 64.26% ▲ (+0.05)

No Goal 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)

Wellington Phoenix 31.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 8 10.42%

Under 8 22.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 9 55.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 9 11.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 32.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 10.5 44.33%

Under 10.5 55.67%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 59.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 40.1% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 34.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 65.93% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 15.99% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 84.01% ▲ (+0.03)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 55.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 0.5 44.61% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 1.5 24.52% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 1.5 75.48% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 7.87% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 92.13% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 3.5 2.13%

Under 3.5 97.87%

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 60.56%

Draw 20.83%

Wellington Phoenix 18.6%

Melbourne Victory

2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.04)

3-1 @ 6.84%

3-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 15.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 60.56%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.27%

0-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 1.28%

Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 20.83%

Wellington Phoenix

1-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.05)

0-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 2.51%

2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.76%

Other @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 18.6%

Head to Head

Feb 6, 2026 6.00am

2

3

HT : 1 2

FT Westpac Stadium

Carlo Armiento 39'
Luke Brooke-Smith 68'
Corban Piper 77'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 82'
Matthew Sheridan 82'
Matt Sheridan 82'
Roderick Miranda 84'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 84'
Matthew Sheridan 84'

Sebastian Esposito 10'
Nishan Velupillay 44'
Keegan Jelacic 63'
Matthew Grimaldi 63'
Matthew Grimaldi 64'
Keegan Jelacic 64'
Louis D'Arrigo 76'
Nikolaos Vergos 76'
Nikos Vergos 76'
Louis D'Arrigo 77'

Dec 29, 2025 8.00am

5

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Nikolaos Vergos 7'
Nikolaos Vergos 42'
Nikolaos Vergos 47'
Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 55'
Keegan Jelacic 90'
Adama Traore 90'+4'

Ramy Najjarine 29'
Manjrekar James 45'+2'

Apr 12, 2025 6.00am

2

3

HT : 2 4

FT Westpac Stadium

Corban Piper 10'
Corban Piper 10'
Paulo Retre 75'
Paulo Retre 75'

Nishan Velupillay 4'
Nishan Velupillay 4'
Zinedine Machach 45'+1'
Zinedine Machach 45'+1'
Nikolaos Vergos 50'
Nikolaos Vergos 50'
Lachlan Jackson 57'
Lachlan Jackson 57'
Brendan Hamill 78'
Brendan Hamill 78'

Feb 14, 2025 8.35am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Nikolaos Vergos 57'
Nikolaos Vergos 58'
Joshua Rawlins 65'
Mitchell Langerak 90'+4'

Matthew Sheridan 75'
Sam Sutton 89'

Nov 24, 2024 2.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Stadium

Alex Rufer 62'
Alex Rufer 62'
Kosta Barbarouses 82'
Kosta Barbarouses 82'

Kasey Bos 30'
Kasey Bos 30'

May 18, 2024 7.30am

1

2

HT : 0 0

ET Westpac Stadium

Youstin Salas 90'+1'
Youstin Salas 90'+1'
Oskar Zawada 90'+9'
Oskar Zawada 90'+9'

Daniel Arzani 30'
Daniel Arzani 30'
Adama Traore 81'
Adama Traore 82'
Connor Chapman 97'
Connor Chapman 97'
Chris Ikonomidis 102'
Chris Ikonomidis 102'

Form Data

Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast

Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur

Sydney FC 2 - 2 Victory

Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Melbourne City 1 - 3 Victory

Victory 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 0 Perth Glory

Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington

Wellington 0 - 1 Sydney FC

Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC

Western Sydney 2 - 2 Wellington