Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.