Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.31%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.