Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.