Mar 21, 2026 4.00am

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Suncorp Stadium

James McGarry 14'
Matt Dench 73'
Niall Thom 73'
Quinn MacNicol 80'
Jordan Lauton 85'

Corban Piper 36'
Manjrekar James 62'
Matt Sheridan 77'
Sander Kartum 77'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 85'
Luke Brooke-Smith 85'
Eze Kelvin 86'
Carlo Armiento 90'
Carlo Armiento 90'+4'

Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

D
D
L
D
L
L

Australian A-League

D
D
L
D
L
L

Last game

Mar 13, 2026 8.00am

Brisbane Roar 2 - 2 Western Sydney

Goals scored

22

Top scorer

Samuel Klein

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

W
D
L
L
D
L

Australian A-League

W
D
L
L
D
L

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 2.00am

Wellington 2 - 0 Perth Glory

Goals scored

33

Top scorer

Eze Kelvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Brisbane Roar 43.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 24.87%

Wellington Phoenix 31.23% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

56.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 21.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 55.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 44.89% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 32.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 67.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 18.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 81.05% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Brisbane Roar 35.21%

Draw 38.98%

Wellington Phoenix 25.81%

Team To Score First

Brisbane Roar 53.26%

No Goal 5.83%

Wellington Phoenix 40.91%

Corners

Over 8 58.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 8 11.27% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 8 30.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 9 47.14% ▲ (+0.11)

Equal 9 11.57% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 9 41.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 10.5 36.24% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 10.5 63.76% ▼ (-0.17)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 1.5 44.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 55.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 20.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 79.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 7.62%

Under 3.5 92.38%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 67.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 32.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 34.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 65.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 13.49%

Under 2.5 86.51%

Over 3.5 4.47%

Under 3.5 95.53%

Score analysis

Brisbane Roar 43.9%

Draw 24.86%

Wellington Phoenix 31.24%

Brisbane Roar

2-1 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 3.66%

3-2 @ 3.24%

Other @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 43.9%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.97%

0-0 @ 5.83%

3-3 @ 1.35%

Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 24.86%

Wellington Phoenix

1-2 @ 7.49%

0-1 @ 7.19%

0-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.15%

2-3 @ 2.48%

0-3 @ 2.04%

Other @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 31.24%

Head to Head

Jan 3, 2026 6.00am

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT Dolphin Stadium

Henry Hore 39'
Christopher Long 46'
Georgios Vrakas 58'
Jordan Lauton 79'

Eze Kelvin 6'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 46'
Kazuki Nagasawa 59'
Paulo Retre 71'
Luke Brooke-Smith 85'
Paulo Retre 90'+1'
Ryan Lee 90'+4'

Oct 26, 2025 2.00am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 26, 2025 6.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

Florin Berenguer 58'
Adam Zimarino 85'
Matt Acton 90'+3'
Matt Acton 90'+3'

Alex Rufer 60'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 80'
Sam Sutton 85'

Feb 6, 2025 4.00am

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Westpac Stadium

17'
Paulo Retre 51'
Paulo Retre 51'
Isaac Hughes 61'
Isaac Hughes 61'

Hosine Bility 25'
Hosine Bility 25'
Jay O'Shea 39'
Jay O'Shea 39'
Henry Hore 71'
Henry Hore 71'
Adam Zimarino 90'+5'
Adam Zimarino 90'+5'

Mar 31, 2024 12.00am

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Bozhidar Kraev 2'
Bozhidar Kraev 2'
David Ball 43'
David Ball 43'
Alex Rufer 81'
Alex Rufer 81'

Henry Hore 73'
Henry Hore 73'
Tom Aldred 90'+5'
Tom Aldred 90'+6'

Feb 2, 2024 8.45am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

James Nikolovski 59'
Louis Zabala 90'+1'
Corey Brown 90'+4'

Bozhidar Kraev 51'
Nicholas Pennington 64'
Bozhidar Kraev 89'

Form Data

Brisbane Roar 2 - 2 Western Sydney

Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Perth Glory

Sydney FC 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Victory 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast

Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Wellington 2 - 0 Perth Glory

Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington

Wellington 0 - 1 Sydney FC

Wellington 0 - 5 Auckland FC

Western Sydney 2 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 3 Victory