Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.