Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.