Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.