Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (5.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.