Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 28, 2026 6.00am
Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 6.00am
Central Coast 3 - 2 Western Sydney
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
M. Di Pizio

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 7.00am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 0 Macarthur
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Clayton Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 23.79% and a draw has a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 2-1 (5.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.01%).

Result

Central Coast Mariners 23.79% (+0.03)
Draw 22.47% (+0.03)
Newcastle Jets 53.77% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.57% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.16% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.84% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 61.17% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 38.83% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 39.69% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 60.31% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 24.48% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 75.52% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Central Coast Mariners 20.57%
Draw 36.01%
Newcastle Jets 43.42%

Team To Score First

Central Coast Mariners 31.72% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.4% (+0.05)
Newcastle Jets 63.88% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 74.44% (+0.13)
Equal 8 8.75% (-0.02)
Under 8 16.81% (-0.13)
Over 9 64.19% (+0.13)
Equal 9 10.25%
Under 9 25.56% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 53.21% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 46.79% (-0.14)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 1.5 30.84% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 69.16% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 11.93% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.07% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.8% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.2% (-0.08)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 82.72% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.28% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 56.1% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 43.9% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 29.76% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 70.24% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 12.57% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 87.43% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 23.79%
Draw 22.47%
Newcastle Jets 53.76%
Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.8% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.52% (+0.05)
Total : 23.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.12% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.4% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.04)
Total : 22.47%
Newcastle Jets
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.29% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.18% (+0.10)
Other @ 12.29% (+0.08)
Total : 53.76%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Oct 19, 2025 5.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 12, 2025 10.35am
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 17' goal
  • Daniel Wilmering 40' yellowcard
  • Trent Sainsbury 45' goal
  • Daniel Wilmering 48' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 50' goal
  • Eli Adams 54' yellowcard
  • Eli Adams 73' goal
  • Eli Adams 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Trent Sainsbury 25'
  • redcard Storm Roux 39'
  • yellowcard Alfie McCalmont 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Trent Sainsbury 15' yellowcard
  • Nathan Paull 39' goal
  • Abdul Faisal 50' goal
  • Brian Kaltack 70' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 72' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Rose 59'
  • goal Mark Natta 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 22, 2024 9.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Callum Timmins 6' yellowcard
  • Thomas Aquilina 64' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 35'
  • goal Brian Kaltack 66'
  • goal Aleksandar Susnjar 75' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Dane Ingham 43' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 50' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Wilmering 89' yellowcard
  • goal Alou Kuol 21'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 32'
  • goal Harrison Steele 82'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Mar 2, 2024 7.00am
0
1
HT : 2 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Brandon O'Neill 49' yellowcard
  • Brandon O'Neill 49' yellowcard
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • Phillip Cancar 79' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 79' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 29'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 29'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 75'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 75'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • yellowcard Brad Tapp 79'
  • yellowcard Brad Tapp 79'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 87'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 87'