Mar 21, 2026 6.10am

4

1

HT : 0 1

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Matthew Grimaldi 46'
Nishan Velupillay 50'
Juan Mata 54'
Nikos Vergos 69'
Keegan Jelacic 78'
Nikos Vergos 90'+1'
Jason Davidson 90'+3'
Reno Piscopo 90'+3'
Jason Davidson 90'+4'

S. Ngor 7'
B. Brandtman 62'
Oliver Lavale 62'
H. Eames 76'
Kaito Taniguchi 76'

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

W
D
D
W
D
W

Australian A-League

W
D
D
W
D
W

Last game

Mar 15, 2026 8.00am

Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Nikolaos Vergos

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

D
W
D
W
W
W

Australian A-League

D
W
D
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 4.00am

Central Coast 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Goals scored

29

Top scorer

S. Ngor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.17% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (5.53%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 56.83% ▲ (+0.16)

Draw 22.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Central Coast Mariners 21% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score:

56.47% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.07% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 19.93% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 2.5 58.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 41.83% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 3.5 35.91% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 3.5 64.09% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 4.5 22.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 4.5 77.83% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 43.51% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 36.95%

Central Coast Mariners 19.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 63.84% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 5.08% ▲ (+0.03)

Central Coast Mariners 31.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.66% ▲ (+0.13)

Equal 8 11.7%

Under 8 29.64% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 9 46.64% ▲ (+0.12)

Equal 9 12.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 41.34% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 10.5 35.35% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 10.5 64.65% ▼ (-0.09)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 55.98% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 44.02% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 2.5 29.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 70.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 13.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 86.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 57.99% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 0.5 42.01% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 1.5 26.16% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 1.5 73.84% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 2.5 8.67% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 2.5 91.33% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 3.5 2.49% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 97.51% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 56.83%

Draw 22.16%

Central Coast Mariners 21%

Melbourne Victory

2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.05)

3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 56.83%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.28%

2-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.03)

3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 22.16%

Central Coast Mariners

1-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.02)

0-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.04)

2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 21%

Head to Head

Feb 1, 2026 6.00am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Central Coast Stadium

Ali Auglah 35'
Brad Tapp 58'
B. Tapp 58'
71'
Nathaniel Blair 71'
Nathanael Blair 71'
Christian Theoharous 90'+3'
C. Theoharous 90'+3'

Jordi Valadon 46'
Nishan Velupillay 46'
Keegan Jelacic 71'
Charles Boniface Nduka 71'
Charles Nduka 71'
Jing Reec 82'

Mar 8, 2025 8.35am

3

0

HT : 6 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Nishan Velupillay 9'
Nishan Velupillay 9'
Nishan Velupillay 9'
Bruno Fornaroli 41'
Bruno Fornaroli 41'
Bruno Fornaroli 41'
Nishan Velupillay 55'
Nishan Velupillay 55'
Joshua Rawlins 85'
Joshua Rawlins 85'
Zinedine Machach 90'+2'
Zinedine Machach 90'+2'

Christian Theoharous 56'
Christian Theoharous 56'
Nicholas Duarte 58'
Nicholas Duarte 58'

Oct 18, 2024 9.35am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Central Coast Stadium

Alfie McCalmont 53'

Ryan Teague 4'
Jason Geria 33'
Roderick Miranda 60'
Jack Duncan 90'+6'

May 25, 2024 10.55am

3

1

HT : 0 0

ET Central Coast Stadium

Jacob Farrell 83'
Ryan Edmondson 90'+1'
Miguel Di Pizio 97'
Ryan Edmondson 120'+1'

Adama Traore 21'
Jason Geria 50'
Daniel Arzani 70'
Damien Da Silva 107'

Feb 25, 2024 6.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Marvel Stadium

Jason Geria 21'
Jason Geria 21'
Daniel Arzani 47'
Daniel Arzani 47'
Roderick Miranda 59'
Roderick Miranda 59'
Roderick Miranda 80'
Roderick Miranda 80'
Jordi Valadon 90'
Jordi Valadon 90'

Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
Alou Kuol 56'
Alou Kuol 56'
Angel Torres 65'
Angel Torres 65'
Ronald Barcellos Arantes 90'+7'
Ronald Barcellos 90'+7'
Storm Roux 90'+10'
Storm Roux 90'+10'

Jan 13, 2024 6.15am

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Allianz Stadium

Alou Kuol 29'
Jacob Farrell 75'
Jing Reec 89'

Fabian Monge 7'
Damien Da Silva 25'
Daniel Arzani 33'
Roderick Miranda 84'
Nishan Velupillay 90'+4'

Form Data

Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur

Sydney FC 2 - 2 Victory

Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Melbourne City 1 - 3 Victory

Victory 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar

Wellington 2 - 3 Victory

Central Coast 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast

Central Coast 0 - 0 Newcastle Jets

Central Coast 3 - 2 Western Sydney

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast

Central Coast 1 - 0 Victory