Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 25, 2026 8.00am
Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 7.00am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 0 Macarthur
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Harry Sawyer

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 6.00am
Central Coast 3 - 2 Western Sydney
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
M. Di Pizio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 24.77% and a draw has a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 1-2 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result

Macarthur 51.38% (+0.15)
Draw 23.86% (-0.02)
Central Coast Mariners 24.77% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.66% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 20.34% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 57.14% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 42.86% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 34.63% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 65.37% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 20.26% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 79.74% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Macarthur 40.19%
Draw 37.83%
Central Coast Mariners 21.98%

Team To Score First

Macarthur 60.06% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.25% (+0.05)
Central Coast Mariners 34.69% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 25.04% (+0.09)
Over 9 52.24% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 36% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 40.71% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 59.29% (+0.08)

Macarthur Goals

Over 1.5 51.87% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 48.13% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 25.95% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 74.05% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 10.13% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.87% (+0.10)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 62.82% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 37.18% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 30.18% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 69.82% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 10.46% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 89.54% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 2.95% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.05% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Macarthur 51.38%
Draw 23.85%
Central Coast Mariners 24.76%
Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.31% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.89% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.75% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.97% (-0.05)
Total : 51.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.25% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.05)
Total : 23.85%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-1 @ 5.77% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.79% (-0.09)
Total : 24.76%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 18, 2026 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • S. Ngor 54' yellowcard
  • B. Brandtman 64' yellowcard
  • H. Eames 64' yellowcard
  • S. Ngor 77' goal
  • Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 83' yellowcard
  • C. Theoharous 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Vickery 61'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Duke 61'
  • goal Luke Vickery 67'
  • yellowcard Dean Bosnjak 73'
  • yellowcard Oliver Randazzo 85'
  • yellowcard Christopher Ikonomidis 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Apr 20, 2025 8.00am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Trent Sainsbury 15' goal
  • Arthur De Lima 29' goal
  • Diesel Harrington 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Hollman 18'
  • goal Kevin Boli 22'
  • yellowcard Frans Deli 27'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 28'
  • goal Harry Sawyer 49'
  • yellowcard Walter Scott 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2024 8.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium
  • Daniel De Silva 11' goal
  • Mile Sterjovski 66' yellowcard
  • Ariath Piol 75' yellowcard
  • Tomislav Uskok 90' redcard
  • goal Haine Eames 53'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2024 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
  • Ulises Davila 22' yellowcard
  • Ulises Davila 22' yellowcard
  • Yianni Nicolaou 38' yellowcard
  • Yianni Nicolaou 38' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jurman 47' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jurman 47' yellowcard
  • Kearyn Baccus 90' yellowcard
  • Kearyn Baccus 90' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 8'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 8'
  • yellowcard Ronald Barcellos 10'
  • yellowcard Ronald Barcellos 10'
  • goal Ronald Barcellos 19'
  • goal Ronald Barcellos 19'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 55'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 55'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 4.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Christian Theoharous 31' yellowcard
  • Alou Kuol 53' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 74' yellowcard
  • William Wilson 90' yellowcard
  • Brian Kaltack 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Aspropotamitis 20'
  • yellowcard Clayton Lewis 28'
  • yellowcard Yianni Nicolaou 53'
  • goal Valere Germain 57'
  • goal Kearyn Baccus 84'
  • yellowcard Kearyn Baccus 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 11, 2023 6.00am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • James McGarry 30' goal
  • Jason Cummings 47' goal
  • Marco Tulio 51' goal
  • Jason Cummings 63' goal
  • goal Daniel De Silva 11'