Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Central Coast
Mar 14, 2026 4.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
Adelaide United
  • Nathanael Blair 56' yellowcard
  • S. Ngor 57' yellowcard
  • S. Ngor 59' goal
  • B. Brandtman 83' yellowcard
  • H. Steele 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joey Garuccio 68'
  • yellowcard Brody Burkitt 68'
  • yellowcard Luke Duzel 68'
  • yellowcard Anselmo 68'
  • yellowcard Austin Ayoubi 79'
  • goal Ethan Alagich 88'

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 8.00am
Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
S. Ngor

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.35am
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Luka Jovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Central Coast Mariners 31.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 25.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Adelaide United 43.04% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.18% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 22.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 54.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 32.67% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 67.33% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 18.82% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 81.18% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Central Coast Mariners 27.09%
Draw 38.21%
Adelaide United 34.7%

Team To Score First

Central Coast Mariners 40.42% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Adelaide United 53.41% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 23.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 54.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 34.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 43.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 56.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 1.5 34.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 65.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 44.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.3% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 31.69%
Draw 25.24%
Adelaide United 43.04%
Central Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.24%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 43.04%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Adelaide United
Jan 4, 2026 8.35am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Coopers Stadium
Central Coast
  • Luke Duzel 46' yellowcard
  • Amlani Tatu 46' yellowcard
  • Joey Garuccio 69' yellowcard
  • Panashe Madanha  70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard A. McCalmont 8'
  • goal S. Ngor 20'
  • goal B. Brandtman 22'
  • goal M. Di Pizio 55'
  • yellowcard N. Duarte 58'
  • yellowcard D. Herrington 78'
  • yellowcard A. De Lima 78'
  • yellowcard C. Theoharous 90'
  • yellowcard Laurence Taylor 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Central Coast
Dec 13, 2024 8.35am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
Adelaide United
  • Sabit Ngor 68' yellowcard
  • Vitor Feijao 77' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Goodwin 12'
  • goal Panagiotis Kikianis 49'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 60'
  • goal Yaya Dukuly 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Adelaide United
Oct 26, 2024 7.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Coopers Stadium
Central Coast
  • Luka Jovanovic 10' goal
  • Luka Jovanovic 10' goal
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 39' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 39' yellowcard
  • goal Sabit Ngor 63'
  • goal Sabit Ngor 63'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Central Coast
May 1, 2024 10.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
Adelaide United
  • 3' goal
  • Jacob Farrell 27' goal
  • Mikael Doka 59' yellowcard
  • Storm Roux 66' yellowcard
  • Max Balard 69' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Veart 1'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 48'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Adelaide United
Feb 3, 2024 8.45am
0
4
HT : 0 5
FT Coopers Stadium
Central Coast
  • Stefan Mauk 85' yellowcard
  • Luka Jovanovic 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Theoharous 31'
  • goal Christian Theoharous 31'
  • yellowcard Mikael Doka 41'
  • yellowcard Mikael Doka 41'
  • goal Angel Torres 43'
  • goal Angel Torres 43'
  • goal Angel Torres 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 73'
  • goal Jing Reec 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Adelaide United
Oct 20, 2023 9.45am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
Central Coast
  • Ben Halloran 38' goal
  • Zach Clough 64' goal
  • Musa Toure 74' yellowcard
  • Nick Ansell 80' goal
  • yellowcard Mikael Doka 27'
  • yellowcard Noah Smith 44'
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 77'
  • redcard Jacob Farrell 79'

Form Data

Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast
Central Coast 0 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Central Coast 3 - 2 Western Sydney
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast
Central Coast 1 - 0 Victory
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Central Coast
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington
Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Adelaide United 4 - 0 Perth Glory
Sydney FC 1 - 2 Adelaide United
Adelaide United 2 - 3 Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Macarthur