Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2026 4.00am
Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 8.00am
Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
M. Di Pizio

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.35am
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Luka Jovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 31.82% and a draw has a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 1-0 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.49%).

Result

Central Coast Mariners 31.82%
Draw 25.27% (+0.04)
Adelaide United 42.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.11% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.23% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.77% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.45% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.65% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.35% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.81% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.19% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Central Coast Mariners 27.09%
Draw 38.21%
Adelaide United 34.7%

Team To Score First

Central Coast Mariners 40.41%
No Goal 6.2% (+0.03)
Adelaide United 53.39% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.8%
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 23.81%
Over 9 54.51%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 34.2%
Over 10.5 43.28%
Under 10.5 56.72%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 1.5 34.79% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.21% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.61% (+0.02)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 75.09%
Under 0.5 24.91%
Over 1.5 44.15% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.85% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 31.82%
Draw 25.26%
Adelaide United 42.91%
Central Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 4.13% (-0.01)
Total : 31.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.26%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.41% (-0.01)
Total : 42.91%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 4, 2026 8.35am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Luke Duzel 46' yellowcard
  • Amlani Tatu 46' yellowcard
  • Joey Garuccio 69' yellowcard
  • Panashe Madanha  70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard A. McCalmont 8'
  • goal S. Ngor 20'
  • goal B. Brandtman 22'
  • goal M. Di Pizio 55'
  • yellowcard N. Duarte 58'
  • yellowcard D. Herrington 78'
  • yellowcard A. De Lima 78'
  • yellowcard C. Theoharous 90'
  • yellowcard Laurence Taylor 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 13, 2024 8.35am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Sabit Ngor 68' yellowcard
  • Vitor Feijao 77' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Goodwin 12'
  • goal Panagiotis Kikianis 49'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 60'
  • goal Yaya Dukuly 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 26, 2024 7.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Luka Jovanovic 10' goal
  • Luka Jovanovic 10' goal
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 39' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 39' yellowcard
  • goal Sabit Ngor 63'
  • goal Sabit Ngor 63'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
May 1, 2024 10.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • 3' goal
  • Jacob Farrell 27' goal
  • Mikael Doka 59' yellowcard
  • Storm Roux 66' yellowcard
  • Max Balard 69' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Veart 1'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 48'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Feb 3, 2024 8.45am
0
4
HT : 0 5
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Stefan Mauk 85' yellowcard
  • Luka Jovanovic 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Theoharous 31'
  • goal Christian Theoharous 31'
  • yellowcard Mikael Doka 41'
  • yellowcard Mikael Doka 41'
  • goal Angel Torres 43'
  • goal Angel Torres 43'
  • goal Angel Torres 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 73'
  • goal Jing Reec 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 20, 2023 9.45am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Ben Halloran 38' goal
  • Zach Clough 64' goal
  • Musa Toure 74' yellowcard
  • Nick Ansell 80' goal
  • yellowcard Mikael Doka 27'
  • yellowcard Noah Smith 44'
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 77'
  • redcard Jacob Farrell 79'