Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.