Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.