Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Apr 7, 2026 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Andreas Kuen 22' goal
  • Andrew Nabbout 66' yellowcard
  • Medin Memeti 66' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 67' goal
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 80' yellowcard
  • Emin Durakovic 80' yellowcard
  • Harrison Shillington 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard S. Ngor 54'
  • yellowcard Oliver Lavale 54'
  • yellowcard James Donachie 54'
  • yellowcard Jesse Mantell 67'
  • yellowcard Jesse Mantell 69'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 73'
  • goal Ali Auglah 90'+4'

Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 9.35am
Melbourne City 3 - 0 Western Sydney
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Marcus Younis

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 7.00am
Central Coast 2 - 2 Perth Glory
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
S. Ngor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.34% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.23%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 57.12% (+0.17)
Draw 23.34% (-0.04)
Central Coast Mariners 19.58% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.22% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.78% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.7% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.3% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.14% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 81.86% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 44.14%
Draw 37.57%
Central Coast Mariners 18.29%

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 64.5% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.14% (-0.02)
Central Coast Mariners 29.36%

Corners

Over 8 58.62%
Equal 8 11.75% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.62%
Over 9 46.55%
Equal 9 12.08%
Under 9 41.38%
Over 10.5 35.22%
Under 10.5 64.78%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 53.62% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 46.38% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 26.97% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.03% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 11.2% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 88.8% (-0.07)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 55.75% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 44.25% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 22.87% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 77.13% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 6.85% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.15% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.73% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 57.13%
Draw 23.34%
Central Coast Mariners 19.57%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 11.18% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.23%
2-0 @ 9.9% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.03% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.04% (+0.06)
Total : 57.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.34%
Central Coast Mariners
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Total : 19.57%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 29, 2025 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Besian Kutleshi 30'
  • yellowcard Max Caputo 48'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 5, 2025 7.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • German Ferreyra 7' yellowcard
  • German Ferreyra 7' yellowcard
  • Medin Memeti 29' goal
  • Medin Memeti 29' goal
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Kai Trewin 85' yellowcard
  • Kai Trewin 85' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 89' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 6'
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 6'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vitor Feijao 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vitor Feijao 45'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Dec 31, 2024 8.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Trent Sainsbury 32' yellowcard
  • Nathan Paull 68' goal
  • Christian Theoharous 86' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Souprayen 33'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 67'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2024 9.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Storm Roux 27' yellowcard
  • Angel Torres 54' goal
  • Max Balard 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lopane 18'
  • goal Tolgay Arslan 50'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2024 7.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Christian Theoharous 40' yellowcard
  • Christian Theoharous 50' goal
  • Angel Torres 88' goal
  • Daniel Hall 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Daniel Hall 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Storm Roux 90'+10' redcard
  • Danny Vukovic 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 33'
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 56'
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 79'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 84'
  • yellowcard Tolgay Arslan 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Terry Antonis 90'+10'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 17, 2023 6.00am
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Marin Jakolis 2' goal
  • Marin Jakolis 2' goal
  • Samuel Souprayen 14' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 14' yellowcard
  • Tolgay Arslan 63' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 63' goal
  • Aurelio Vidmar 67' yellowcard
  • Aurelio Vidmar 67' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 89' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 89' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Lopane 90'+2' goal
  • Alessandro Lopane 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Tulio 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Tulio 41'
  • goal Angel Torres 49'
  • goal Angel Torres 49'
  • goal Angel Torres 60'
  • goal Angel Torres 60'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 66'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 66'
  • goal Angel Torres 82'
  • goal Angel Torres 82'
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 89'
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 89'