Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Western Sydney
Apr 25, 2026 10.35am
Spotless Stadium
Victory

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 6.00am
Wellington 2 - 1 Western Sydney
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Ryan Fraser

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 10.35am
Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers has a probability of 31.5% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win is 2-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.68%).

Result

Western Sydney Wanderers 31.5%
Draw 24.18%
Melbourne Victory 44.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.21%
Under 1.5 19.79%
Over 2.5 58.56%
Under 2.5 41.44%
Over 3.5 35.46%
Under 3.5 64.54%
Over 4.5 20.89%
Under 4.5 79.11%

First Half Winner

Western Sydney Wanderers 28.88%
Draw 36.22%
Melbourne Victory 34.9%

Team To Score First

Western Sydney Wanderers 43.01%
No Goal 5.14%
Melbourne Victory 51.85%

Corners

Over 8 72.16%
Equal 8 9.21%
Under 8 18.63%
Over 9 61.61%
Equal 9 10.55%
Under 9 27.84%
Over 10.5 50.55%
Under 10.5 49.45%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 36.45%
Under 1.5 63.55%
Over 2.5 15.16%
Under 2.5 84.84%
Over 3.5 4.88%
Under 3.5 95.12%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 76.93%
Under 0.5 23.07%
Over 1.5 47.52%
Under 1.5 52.48%
Over 2.5 22.17%
Under 2.5 77.83%
Over 3.5 8.34%
Under 3.5 91.66%

Score analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 31.49%
Draw 24.18%
Melbourne Victory 44.32%
Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.39%
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.22%
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 31.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.18%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-1 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 5%
0-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 3.28%
Other @ 8.05%
Total : 44.32%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Victory
Jan 10, 2026 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney
  • Keegan Jelacic 73' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 73' yellowcard
  • Matthew Grimaldi 81' yellowcard
  • Denis Genreau 88' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 88' yellowcard
  • Kayne Razmovski 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 29'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 66'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 67'
  • yellowcard Dylan Scicluna 75'
  • yellowcard Alaat Abdul-Rahman 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 90'+1'
Australian A-League
Western Sydney
May 10, 2025 10.35am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Zac Sapsford 23' goal
  • yellowcard Joshua Inserra 4'
  • goal Kasey Bos 7'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Western Sydney
Mar 15, 2025 8.30am
4
2
HT : 2 4
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Bozhidar Kraev 16' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 16' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 44' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 44' goal
  • Brandon Borrello 76' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 87' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 88' yellowcard
  • Marcus Antonsson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 34'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 34'
  • goal Reno Piscopo 41'
  • goal Reno Piscopo 41'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Victory
Jan 4, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney
  • Roderick Miranda 29' goal
  • Jordi Valadon 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Teague 87' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Clisby 33'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 41'
  • goal Aydan Hammond 45'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 76'
  • yellowcard Alexander Badolato 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 90'
  • yellowcard Jesse Cameron 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Victory
Apr 27, 2024 10.45am
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney
  • Zinedine Machach 4' goal
  • Chris Ikonomidis 7' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 15' goal
  • Connor Chapman 17' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 55' goal
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 19'
  • goal Lachlan Brook 20'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Clisby 45'+3'
  • goal Aydan Hammond 73'
  • goal Oscar Priestman 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
Dec 10, 2023 6.00am
3
4
HT : 0 4
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Marcus Antonsson 57' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 57' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Marcus Antonsson 88' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 88' goal
  • Valentino Yuel 90'+1' goal
  • Valentino Yuel 90'+1' goal
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 8'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 8'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 32'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 32'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 51'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 51'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 74'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 74'

Form Data

Wellington 2 - 1 Western Sydney
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Melbourne City 3 - 0 Western Sydney
Western Sydney 2 - 4 Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Newcastle Jets 2 - 1 Western Sydney
Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington
Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast
Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur
Sydney FC 2 - 2 Victory