Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.