Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.