Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 18, 2026 6.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Eze Kelvin 16' goal
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 56' goal
  • Matt Sheridan 62' yellowcard
  • Sander Kartum 62' yellowcard
  • Luke Brooke-Smith 83' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Borrello 41'
  • yellowcard Atiya Waraga 59'
  • yellowcard Atiya Waraga 61'
  • yellowcard Hiroshi Ibusuki 78'

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 6.00am
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Eze Kelvin

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 10.35am
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Ryan Fraser

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 34.43% (+0.08)
Draw 23.77% (-0.02)
Western Sydney Wanderers 41.79% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.39% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.71% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 20.29% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 57.78% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 42.22% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 35.72% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 64.28% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 21% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 79% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 24.02% (-1.63)
Draw 36.93% (-1.22)
Western Sydney Wanderers 39.04% (+2.82)

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 39.38% (-0.97)
No Goal 5.25% (+0.05)
Western Sydney Wanderers 55.37% (+0.92)

Corners

Over 8 61.51% (+1.22)
Equal 8 11.28% (+0.17)
Under 8 27.21% (-1.38)
Over 9 49.68% (+0.96)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.27)
Under 9 38.49% (-1.22)
Over 10.5 38.33% (+0.62)
Under 10.5 61.67% (-0.62)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 38.17% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 61.83% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.07% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 83.93% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 5.42% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 94.58% (-0.08)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 25.46% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 44.89% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 55.11% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 21.15% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 78.85% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 8.34% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 91.66% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 34.44%
Draw 23.78%
Western Sydney Wanderers 41.78%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.23% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.48% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.12% (-0.01)
Total : 34.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.25% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.08)
Total : 23.78%
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 6.14% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.89% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.09)
Other @ 8.04% (+0.10)
Total : 41.78%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 13, 2026 8.35am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Ryan Fraser 17' goal
  • Phillip Cancar 43' goal
  • Brandon Borrello 74' yellowcard
  • Jarrod Carluccio 74' yellowcard
  • Brandon Borrello 76' yellowcard
  • Aydan Hammond 79' yellowcard
  • Aydan Hammond 80' yellowcard
  • Joshua Brillante 84' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramy Najjarine 46'
  • yellowcard Manjrekar James 46'
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 55'
  • goal Bill Tuiloma 68'
  • goal Eze Kelvin 71'
  • yellowcard Nikola Mileusnic 88'
  • yellowcard N. Mileusnić 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Mar 29, 2025 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Corban Piper 21' goal
  • Corban Piper 21' goal
  • Chico Geraldes 44' yellowcard
  • Chico Geraldes 44' yellowcard
  • Chico Geraldes 69' goal
  • Chico Geraldes 69' goal
  • goal Bozhidar Kraev 36'
  • goal Bozhidar Kraev 36'
  • yellowcard Brandon Borrello 84'
  • yellowcard Brandon Borrello 84'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 89'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 22, 2024 6.00am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Marconi Stadium
  • Zac Sapsford 1' goal
  • Zac Sapsford 1' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 9' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 9' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 66' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 66' goal
  • Dylan Scicluna 90'+4' goal
  • Dylan Scicluna 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hideki Ishige 59'
  • goal Hideki Ishige 59'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2023 4.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Alex Rufer 31' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 31' yellowcard
  • 85' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' goal
  • Ben Old 90'+4' goal
  • Ben Old 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 75'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 75'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 22, 2023 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Joshua Brillante 70' yellowcard
  • Joshua Brillante 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milanovic 83' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milanovic 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2023 10.45am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Brandon Borrello 9' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 31' goal
  • Aidan Simmons 65' goal
  • Kusini Yengi 87' goal