Apr 17, 2026 10.35am

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

D
L
W
W
D
D

Australian A-League

D
L
W
W
D
D

Last game

Apr 11, 2026 6.00am

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory

Goals scored

40

Top scorer

Nikolaos Vergos

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

D
L
W
L
W
D

Australian A-League

D
L
W
L
W
D

Last game

Apr 11, 2026 8.00am

Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Clayton Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 33.21% and a draw has a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.32%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.25%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 45.38%

Draw 21.38%

Newcastle Jets 33.21%

Both Teams to Score:

62.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.93%

Under 1.5 15.07%

Over 2.5 65.83%

Under 2.5 34.13%

Over 3.5 44.68%

Under 3.5 55.32%

Over 4.5 28.69%

Under 4.5 71.31%

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 37.17%

Draw 37.78%

Newcastle Jets 25.05%

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 55.92%

No Goal 3.33%

Newcastle Jets 40.75%

Corners

Over 8 72.82%

Equal 8 9.18%

Under 8 18%

Over 9 62.22%

Equal 9 10.6%

Under 9 27.18%

Over 10.5 51.03%

Under 10.5 48.97%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 51.41%

Under 1.5 48.59%

Over 2.5 27.23%

Under 2.5 72.77%

Over 3.5 11.99%

Under 3.5 88.01%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 69.78%

Under 0.5 30.22%

Over 1.5 40.91%

Under 1.5 59.09%

Over 2.5 18.75%

Under 2.5 81.25%

Over 3.5 7.27%

Under 3.5 92.73%

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 45.39%

Draw 21.37%

Newcastle Jets 33.21%

Melbourne Victory

2-1 @ 8.59%

1-0 @ 6.32%

3-1 @ 5.64%

2-0 @ 5.61%

3-2 @ 4.3%

3-0 @ 3.33%

Other @ 11.6%

Total : 45.39%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.25%

2-2 @ 6.43%

0-0 @ 3.33%

3-3 @ 1.97%

Other @ 0.39%

Total : 21.37%

Newcastle Jets

1-2 @ 7.2%

0-1 @ 5.39%

0-2 @ 4.23%

1-3 @ 3.93%

2-3 @ 3.55%

0-3 @ 2.03%

Other @ 6.88%

Total : 33.21%

Head to Head

Oct 24, 2025 9.35am

5

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 4, 2025 8.00am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Kasey Bos 47'
Jordi Valadon 67'

Kota Mizunuma 60'
Clayton Taylor 83'

Feb 8, 2025 6.00am

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Mark Natta 21'
Mark Natta 21'
Thomas Aquilina 33'
Lachlan Bayliss 45'+1'
Lachlan Bayliss 45'+1'
Lachlan Rose 54'
Kosta Grozos 90'+9'
Kosta Grozos 90'+9'
Clayton Taylor 90'+14'
Clayton Taylor 90'+14'
Lachlan Rose 90'+20'
Lachlan Rose 90'+20'

Ryan Teague 44'
Ryan Teague 44'
Adama Traore 57'
Adama Traore 57'
Mitchell Langerak 82'
Mitchell Langerak 82'

Feb 3, 2024 7.00am

1

1

HT : 0 2

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 88'
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 88'

Roderick Miranda 20'
Roderick Miranda 20'
Damien Da Silva 31'
Damien Da Silva 31'
Ryan Teague 87'
Ryan Teague 87'
Connor Chapman 90'
Connor Chapman 90'

Oct 29, 2023 6.00am

5

3

HT : 4 1

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Bruno Fornaroli 8'
Bruno Fornaroli 31'
Bruno Fornaroli 40'
Bruno Fornaroli 45'+3'
Nishan Velupillay 55'

Mark Natta 6'
Carl Jenkinson 27'
Clayton Taylor 49'
Trent Buhagiar 58'
Clayton Taylor 74'

Feb 12, 2023 4.00am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Beka Mikeltadze 37'
Kosta Grozos 58'

Nishan Velupillay 51'

Form Data

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory

Victory 0 - 1 Wellington

Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast

Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur

Sydney FC 2 - 2 Victory

Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Macarthur 3 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Auckland FC

Newcastle Jets 2 - 1 Western Sydney

Central Coast 0 - 0 Newcastle Jets