Apr 2, 2026 9.35am

3

2

HT : 2 2

FT Campbelltown Stadium

Mitchell Duke 10'
Rafael Duran 23'
Dean Bosnjak 66'
Luke Vickery 66'
Mitchell Duke 68'
Harrison Sawyer 74'
Bernardo 90'+3'

Xavier Bertoncello 13'
Eli Adams 46'
Will Dobson 46'
Xavier Bertoncello 45'+5'
Zach Clough 64'
Lachlan Rose 77'
Alex Nunes 80'

Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

W
L
L
L
L
D

Australian A-League

W
L
L
L
L
D

Last game

Mar 21, 2026 2.00am

Auckland FC 1 - 2 Macarthur

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Rafael Duran

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

W
L
W
D
W
W

Australian A-League

W
L
W
D
W
W

Last game

Mar 22, 2026 4.00am

Sydney FC 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Clayton Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Macarthur 27.48% ▼ (-0.10)

Draw 22.46%

Newcastle Jets 50.06% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score:

57.43% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.35% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 1.5 18.65% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 2.5 60.71% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 2.5 39.29% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 3.5 38.72% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 3.5 61.28% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 4.5 24.62% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 4.5 75.38% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Macarthur 25.84%

Draw 36.13%

Newcastle Jets 38.03%

Team To Score First

Macarthur 40.69% ▼ (-0.03)

No Goal 4.89% ▲ (+0.05)

Newcastle Jets 54.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.95%

Equal 8 9.34%

Under 8 19.71%

Over 9 60.37%

Equal 9 10.58%

Under 9 29.05%

Over 10.5 49.37%

Under 10.5 50.63%

Macarthur Goals

Over 1.5 33.16% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 1.5 66.84% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 2.5 14.12% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 4.84% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 95.16% ▲ (+0.02)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 79.73%

Under 0.5 20.27%

Over 1.5 52.34% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 47.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 27.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 72.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 12.44% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 87.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Macarthur 27.49%

Draw 22.46%

Newcastle Jets 50.06%

Macarthur

2-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.04)

1-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)

3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 27.49%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.73%

2-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.04)

0-0 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.35%

Total : 22.46%

Newcastle Jets

1-2 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.09)

0-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)

1-3 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 12.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 50.06%

Head to Head

Feb 22, 2026 7.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Lachlan Bayliss 54'
Ben Gibson 66'
L. Scicluna 78'
Xavier Bertoncello 78'
Kota Mizunuma 90'+1'

Mitchell Duke 55'
Christopher Ikonomidis 55'
Luke Brattan 67'
Rafael Duran 67'

Dec 26, 2025 8.35am

4

5

HT : 1 2

FT

Eli Adams 42'
Clayton Taylor 48'
Will Dobson 52'
Xavier Bertoncello 75'
82'
Ben Gibson 83'

Liam Rose 8'
Bernardo Oliveira 15'
Dean Bosnjak 45'+1'
Joel Bertolissio 50' (OG)
Callum Talbot 64'
Harry Sawyer 68'
Luke Brattan 90'+1'
Luke Vickery 90'+6'
Anthony Caceres 90'+8'

Mar 28, 2025 8.35am

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT Campbelltown Stadium

Harry Sawyer 65'
Tomislav Uskok 82'
Harry Sawyer 90'+5'

Lachlan Rose 2'
Eli Adams 7'
Eli Adams 71'
Noah James 90'+2'
Phillip Cancar 90'+4'

Jan 12, 2025 6.00am

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Ben Gibson 18'
Wellissol 73'

Valere Germain 19'
Marin Jakolis 20'
Wellissol 20'
Valere Germain 23'
Jed Drew 59'
Liam Rose 68'
Bernardo Oliveira 90'+1'

Oct 25, 2024 9.35am

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Campbelltown Stadium

Marin Jakolis 19'
Liam Rose 47'
Daniel De Silva 68'

Thomas Aquilina 29'
Dane Ingham 51'
Eli Adams 56'
Eli Adams 60'
Robert Stanton 63'

Feb 25, 2024 6.00am

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Archie Goodwin 71'
Archie Goodwin 71'
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 89'
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 89'
Brandon O'Neill 90'+2'
Brandon O'Neill 90'+2'

Ulises Davila 69'
Ulises Davila 69'
Valere Germain 81'
Valere Germain 81'
Ali Auglah 90'+2'
Ali Auglah 90'+2'

Form Data

Auckland FC 1 - 2 Macarthur

Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur

Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast

Macarthur 0 - 4 Western Sydney

Newcastle Jets 1 - 0 Macarthur

Macarthur 2 - 2 Perth Glory

Sydney FC 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Auckland FC

Newcastle Jets 2 - 1 Western Sydney

Central Coast 0 - 0 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets 1 - 0 Macarthur

Perth Glory 1 - 3 Newcastle Jets