Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.84% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Macarthur win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.