Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 37.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.