Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 11, 2026 6.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Logan Rogerson 35' yellowcard
  • Sam Cosgrove 45'+4' goal
  • Jesse Randall 59' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 59' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Brook 82' goal
  • Jonty Bidois 87' yellowcard
  • goal F. Lino 23'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 53'
  • yellowcard Louis D'Arrigo 60'
  • yellowcard Oliver Dragicevic 74'
  • yellowcard Reno Piscopo 75'
  • yellowcard Jackson Lachlan 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Adama Traoré 90'+2'

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 9.35am
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Auckland FC
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jesse Randall

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 6.00am
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 33.47% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.26%).

Result

Auckland FC 41.48% (-0.21)
Draw 25.04% (+0.04)
Melbourne Victory 33.47% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.84% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.29% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 55.22% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 44.78% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 33.74% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 66.26% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 19.45% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 80.55% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Auckland FC 33.2%
Draw 38.66%
Melbourne Victory 28.14%

Team To Score First

Auckland FC 50.29% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.86% (+0.04)
Melbourne Victory 43.85% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 71.43% (-0.35)
Equal 8 9.29% (+0.05)
Under 8 19.28% (+0.31)
Over 9 60.85% (-0.37)
Equal 9 10.58% (+0.02)
Under 9 28.57% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 49.81% (-0.35)
Under 10.5 50.19% (+0.35)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 1.5 43.52% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 56.48% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 19.39% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 80.61% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 7.01% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 92.99% (+0.15)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 69.16% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 30.84% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 37% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.18% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.82% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.02% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Auckland FC 41.48%
Draw 25.04%
Melbourne Victory 33.48%
Auckland FC
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.73% (-0.14)
Total : 41.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.86% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 25.04%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.9% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.6% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Oct 18, 2025 9.35am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League
May 24, 2025 7.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Felipe Gallegos 41' yellowcard
  • Alex Paulsen 44' yellowcard
  • Nando Pijnaker 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 20'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 46'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 55'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 60'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 65'
Australian A-League
May 17, 2025 10.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Lachlan Jackson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 60'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Apr 19, 2025 8.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • goal Louis Verstraete 53'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sakai 79'
  • goal Guillermo May 89'
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2025 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Louis Verstraete 66' yellowcard