Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2026 5.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Sam Cosgrove 32' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Bayliss 35' goal
  • Lachlan Bayliss 53' goal
  • Lachlan Brook 85' goal
  • Logan Rogerson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 32'
  • goal Quinn MacNicol 42'

Auckland FC vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 23, 2026 9.10am
Auckland FC 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Lachlan Bayliss

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00am
Auckland FC 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Quinn MacNicol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 0-1 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Auckland FC 38.03% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 25.05% ▼ (-0.31)
Melbourne City 36.92% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.25% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 48.75% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 28.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 71.51% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.83% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 84.17% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Auckland FC 26.99% ▲ (+1.11)
Draw 40.26% ▼ (-0.40)
Melbourne City 32.75% ▼ (-0.71)

Team To Score First

Auckland FC 41.08% ▼ (-1.36)
No Goal 7.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Melbourne City 51.91% ▲ (+1.45)

Corners

Over 8 61.12% ▼ (-5.54)
Equal 8 10.56% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 8 28.32% ▲ (+5.09)
Over 9 50.09% ▼ (-5.52)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 38.88% ▲ (+5.54)
Over 10.5 39.45% ▼ (-5.09)
Under 10.5 60.55% ▲ (+5.09)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 1.5 37.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 69.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 30.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.17% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 62.83% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 15.37% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 84.63% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 5.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 94.68% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Auckland FC 38.03%
Draw 25.05%
Melbourne City 36.92%
Auckland FC
1-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 25.05%
Melbourne City
0-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 36.92%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
May 2, 2026 6.00am
1
1
ET Mount Smart Stadium
  • Guillermo May 45'+3' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 63' yellowcard
  • Nando Pijnaker 83' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 84' yellowcard
  • Nando Pijnaker 84' yellowcard
  • Liam Gillion 91' yellowcard
  • Luka Vicelich 109' yellowcard
  • Luka Vicelich 110' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Medin Memeti 62'
  • yellowcard Takeshi Kanamori 72'
  • yellowcard Andrew Nabbout 73'
  • goal Medin Memeti 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Zane Schreiber 106'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 28, 2026 4.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Sam Cosgrove 40' yellowcard
  • Logan Rogerson 43' goal
  • Jesse Randall 59' goal
  • Guillermo May 66' goal
  • Lachlan Brook 69' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 69' yellowcard
  • B. Ferguson 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Bonetig 67'
  • yellowcard Medin Memeti 67'
  • yellowcard Medin Memeti 68'
  • yellowcard Kavian Rahmani 76'
  • yellowcard Elbasan Rashani 76'
  • yellowcard Emin Durakovic 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 16, 2026 8.35am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Zane Schreiber 24' yellowcard
  • Andreas Kuen 57' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 58' yellowcard
  • Max Caputo 70' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Wong 73' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Lopane 73' yellowcard
  • Medin Memeti 81' goal
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 44'
  • goal Lachlan Brook 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jake Brimmer 71'
  • yellowcard Guillermo May 71'
  • yellowcard Jake Girdwood-Reich 71'
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Jan 18, 2025 4.00am
3
0
HT : 9 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Max Mata 12' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 12' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 12' yellowcard
  • Guillermo May 33' goal
  • Guillermo May 33' goal
  • Guillermo May 33' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 40' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 40' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 40' goal
  • Max Mata 45'+3' goal
  • Max Mata 45'+3' goal
  • Max Mata 45'+3' goal
  • Jesse Randall 51' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 51' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 51' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 78' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 78' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 78' yellowcard
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 15, 2024 6.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Medin Memeti 18' goal
  • Medin Memeti 18' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 79' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 79' goal
  • Zane Schreiber 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Zane Schreiber 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Mckenlay 13'
  • yellowcard Finn Mckenlay 13'
  • goal Guillermo May 53'
  • goal Guillermo May 53'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • goal Neyder Moreno 90'+5'
  • goal Neyder Moreno 90'+5'