Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.