Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.51% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.