Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Auckland FC
Apr 19, 2026 4.00am
Mount Smart Stadium
Central Coast

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 6.00am
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jesse Randall

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 10.35am
Central Coast 2 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
S. Ngor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw has a probability of 21.41% and a win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.72%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it is 0-1 (5.05%).

Result

Auckland FC 61.62% ▲ (+0.62)
Draw 21.41% ▼ (-0.11)
Central Coast Mariners 16.97% ▼ (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.69% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 21.31% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 36.02% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 63.98% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 23.21% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 4.5 76.79% ▼ (-0.45)

First Half Winner

Auckland FC 49.75% ▲ (+2.83)
Draw 34.69% ▼ (-0.22)
Central Coast Mariners 15.56% ▼ (-2.62)

Team To Score First

Auckland FC 67.01% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 5.68% ▲ (+0.22)
Central Coast Mariners 27.31% ▼ (-0.31)

Corners

Over 8 69.7% ▲ (+2.11)
Equal 8 10.09% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 20.21% ▼ (-2.22)
Over 9 58.32% ▲ (+1.72)
Equal 9 11.38% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 9 30.3% ▼ (-2.10)
Over 10.5 46.63% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 10.5 53.37% ▼ (-1.16)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 1.5 58.64% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 41.36% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 33% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 2.5 67% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 15.48% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 3.5 84.52% ▼ (-0.54)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 52.55% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 0.5 47.45% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 1.5 21.36% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 1.5 78.64% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 2.5 6.45% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 93.55% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 1.74% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 98.26% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Auckland FC 61.62%
Draw 21.41%
Central Coast Mariners 16.96%
Auckland FC
1-0 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 15.28% ▲ (+0.54)
Total : 61.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 21.41%
Central Coast Mariners
0-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 16.96%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Auckland FC
Jan 24, 2026 4.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mount Smart Stadium
Central Coast
  • Jesse Randall 12' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 58' goal
  • Jake Brimmer 81' yellowcard
  • Logan Rogerson 84' yellowcard
  • Callan Elliot 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marlee Francois 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Oliver Lavale 44'
  • yellowcard Miguel Di Pizio 62'
  • yellowcard Sabit Ngor 62'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Blair 62'
  • yellowcard S. Ngor 62'
  • yellowcard Nathanael Blair 62'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Paull 74'
  • yellowcard C. Theoharous 74'
  • goal Oliver Lavale 89'
  • yellowcard Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 90'
  • yellowcard Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 90'+1'
Australian A-League
Central Coast
Dec 12, 2025 8.35am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Auckland FC
  • Callan Elliot 33' goal
  • Will Patrick Jardine Kennedy 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jesse Randall 20'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 58'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Auckland FC
Mar 16, 2025 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
Central Coast
  • Guillermo May 10' goal
  • Guillermo May 10' goal
  • Callan Elliot 78' goal
  • Callan Elliot 78' goal
  • goal Vitor Feijao 71'
  • goal Vitor Feijao 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 77'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 77'
  • goal Nicholas Duarte 90'
  • goal Nicholas Duarte 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Central Coast
Dec 28, 2024 6.00am
1
4
HT : 2 6
FT Central Coast Stadium
Auckland FC
  • Alfie McCalmont 15' goal
  • Alfie McCalmont 15' goal
  • Trent Sainsbury 24' yellowcard
  • Trent Sainsbury 24' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 83' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 83' yellowcard
  • Vitor Feijao 90' yellowcard
  • Vitor Feijao 90' yellowcard
  • goal Hiroki Sakai 12'
  • goal Hiroki Sakai 12'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 31'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 31'
  • goal Guillermo May 39'
  • goal Guillermo May 39'
  • yellowcard Francis De Vries 67'
  • yellowcard Francis De Vries 67'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 84'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 84'
  • yellowcard Louis Verstraete 89'
  • yellowcard Louis Verstraete 89'
  • yellowcard Felipe Gallegos 90'
  • yellowcard Felipe Gallegos 90'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 90'+1'

Form Data

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Auckland FC
Auckland FC 1 - 2 Macarthur
Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Auckland FC
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Perth Glory
Auckland FC 3 - 0 Melbourne City
Central Coast 2 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Central Coast
Central Coast 2 - 2 Perth Glory
Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast
Central Coast 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Macarthur 1 - 3 Central Coast