Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.