Australian A-League
May 2, 2026 6.00am
Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 6.00am
Sydney FC 2 - 2 Auckland FC
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jesse Randall

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.30am
Melbourne City 1 - 2 Adelaide United
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Marcus Younis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Melbourne City has a probability of 31.72% and a draw has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Melbourne City win is 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Auckland FC 42.4%
Draw 25.88%
Melbourne City 31.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 26.49% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 49.65%
Under 2.5 50.35%
Over 3.5 28.12%
Under 3.5 71.88%
Over 4.5 15.6%
Under 4.5 84.4%

First Half Winner

Auckland FC 32.78%
Draw 41.37%
Melbourne City 25.85%

Team To Score First

Auckland FC 49.25%
No Goal 7.49%
Melbourne City 43.26%

Corners

Over 8 60.08%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 28.21%
Over 9 47.91%
Equal 9 12.17%
Under 9 39.92%
Over 10.5 36.37%
Under 10.5 63.63%

Auckland FC Goals

Over 1.5 40.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.24% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.63% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.37% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.93%
Under 3.5 94.07%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 66.1% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.9% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 11.87%
Under 2.5 88.13%
Over 3.5 3.52%
Under 3.5 96.48%

Score analysis

Auckland FC 42.4%
Draw 25.88%
Melbourne City 31.73%
Auckland FC
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 5.82%
Total : 42.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
Melbourne City
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 31.73%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 28, 2026 4.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Sam Cosgrove 40' yellowcard
  • Logan Rogerson 43' goal
  • Jesse Randall 59' goal
  • Guillermo May 66' goal
  • Lachlan Brook 69' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 69' yellowcard
  • B. Ferguson 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Bonetig 67'
  • yellowcard Medin Memeti 67'
  • yellowcard Medin Memeti 68'
  • yellowcard Kavian Rahmani 76'
  • yellowcard Elbasan Rashani 76'
  • yellowcard Emin Durakovic 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 16, 2026 8.35am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Zane Schreiber 24' yellowcard
  • Andreas Kuen 57' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 58' yellowcard
  • Max Caputo 70' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Wong 73' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Lopane 73' yellowcard
  • Medin Memeti 81' goal
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 44'
  • goal Lachlan Brook 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jake Brimmer 71'
  • yellowcard Guillermo May 71'
  • yellowcard Jake Girdwood-Reich 71'
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Jan 18, 2025 4.00am
3
0
HT : 9 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Max Mata 12' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 12' yellowcard
  • Max Mata 12' yellowcard
  • Guillermo May 33' goal
  • Guillermo May 33' goal
  • Guillermo May 33' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 40' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 40' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 40' goal
  • Max Mata 45'+3' goal
  • Max Mata 45'+3' goal
  • Max Mata 45'+3' goal
  • Jesse Randall 51' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 51' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 51' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 78' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 78' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 78' yellowcard
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Dec 15, 2024 6.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Medin Memeti 18' goal
  • Medin Memeti 18' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 79' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 79' goal
  • Zane Schreiber 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Zane Schreiber 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finn Mckenlay 13'
  • yellowcard Finn Mckenlay 13'
  • goal Guillermo May 53'
  • goal Guillermo May 53'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • goal Neyder Moreno 90'+5'
  • goal Neyder Moreno 90'+5'