Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Liam Bonetig 41' yellowcard
  • goal Jérémy Le Douaron 10'
  • goal Patryk Peda 54'

Melbourne City vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Palermo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 4.00pm
Palermo 1 - 1 Iraklis 1908 U19

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 39.26% (+0.05)
Draw 27.33% (-0.02)
Palermo 33.46% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.94% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.12% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 27.88% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 47.93% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.07% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.82% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 73.18% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 14.36% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.64% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 33.39% (-0.07)
Draw 42.34% (+0.18)
Palermo 24.27% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 49.9% (-0.06)
No Goal 8.63% (-0.04)
Palermo 41.47% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.21% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.43% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.36% (+0.08)
Over 9 46.52% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.79% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 35.56% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.44% (+0.02)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 37.83% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 62.17% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 14.98% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.02% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.18% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.82% (-0.04)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 66.71% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 33.29% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 32.99% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67.01% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 12.74% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 39.26%
Draw 27.31%
Palermo 33.46%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 10.24% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.01% (+0.03)
Total : 39.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 27.31%
Palermo
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58% (+0.03)
Total : 33.46%