Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 12.00pm
AAMI Park

Melbourne City vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Palermo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 4.00pm
Palermo 1 - 1 Iraklis 1908 U19

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Palermo has a probability of 33.45% and a draw has a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Palermo win is 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Melbourne City 39.21% (-0.20)
Draw 27.34% (-0.02)
Palermo 33.45% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.79% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 27.96% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 47.83% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.17% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.68% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.27% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.27% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.73% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 33.45% (+0.05)
Draw 42.17% (-0.11)
Palermo 24.38% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 49.95% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.67% (-0.02)
Palermo 41.38% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.27% (+0.48)
Equal 8 11.44% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.29% (-0.48)
Over 9 46.57% (+0.44)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.03)
Under 9 41.73% (-0.48)
Over 10.5 35.58% (+0.36)
Under 10.5 64.42% (-0.36)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 37.77% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.23% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 14.91% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 85.09% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.15% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.85% (+0.05)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 66.65% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 33.35% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 32.93% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 67.07% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 12.71% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 87.29% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 3.73% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.27% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 39.19%
Draw 27.35%
Palermo 33.45%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.98% (-0.04)
Total : 39.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 27.35%
Palermo
0-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.19% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.56% (+0.05)
Total : 33.45%