Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.