Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.