Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%).