Australian A-League
Victory
May 2, 2026 10.40am
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC

Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 10.35am
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Victory
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 6.00am
Sydney FC 2 - 2 Auckland FC
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tiago Quintal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Sydney FC has a probability of 33.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Sydney FC win is 0-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 41.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 24.88%
Sydney FC 33.48% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.42% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 34.22% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 40.38% ▼ (-0.12)
Sydney FC 25.4% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 49.41% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.55%
Sydney FC 44.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.57%
Equal 8 11.49%
Under 8 25.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 50.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 37.43%
Over 10.5 38.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 61.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 41.49%
Under 1.5 58.51%
Over 2.5 18.13%
Under 2.5 81.87%
Over 3.5 6.59%
Under 3.5 93.41%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 41.63%
Draw 24.87%
Sydney FC 33.48%
Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 41.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.87%
Sydney FC
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Sydney FC
Mar 7, 2026 8.35am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Juventus Stadium
Victory
  • Al Hassan Touré 70' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 73' goal
  • Ahmet Arslan 75' goal
  • Mathias Macallister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Abel Walatee 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Mata 34'
  • yellowcard Matthew Grimaldi 68'
  • yellowcard Charles Nduka 68'
  • goal Charles Nduka 69'
  • yellowcard Reno Piscopo 83'
  • yellowcard Denis Genreau 83'
  • yellowcard Joshua Inserra 85'
Australian A-League
Victory
Jan 26, 2026 6.40am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 53' goal
  • Clarismario 53' goal
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 64' goal
  • Clarismario 64' goal
  • Jordi Valadon 68' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 68' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 76' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 79' goal
  • Lachlan Jackson 82' goal
  • Jackson Lachlan 82' goal
  • Jing Reec 83' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 83' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 84' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 84' yellowcard
  • Joshua Inserra 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Courtney-Perkins 45'
  • yellowcard Jordan Courtney-Perkins 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Wataru Kamijo 56'
  • yellowcard Mathias Langeland Macallister 56'
  • yellowcard Alexandar Popovic 56'
  • yellowcard W. Kamijo 56'
  • yellowcard Akol Akon 89'
  • yellowcard Nickolas Alfaro 89'
Australian A-League
Sydney FC
Nov 22, 2025 8.35am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Victory
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Victory
Jan 24, 2025 8.35am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Nikolaos Vergos 24' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 29' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 23'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 63'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Sydney FC
Dec 28, 2024 8.35am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadium
Victory
  • Joe Lolley 2' goal
  • Joe Lolley 26' goal
  • Adrian Segecic 68' yellowcard
  • Jaiden Kucharski 86' goal
  • redcard Zinedine Machach 16'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 51'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 67'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 70'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hamill 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Victory
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Marvel Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Zinedine Machach 17' goal
  • Rai Marchan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 10'
  • redcard Patrick Wood 36'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 69'

Form Data

Western Sydney 0 - 2 Victory
Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington
Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast
Victory 4 - 1 Macarthur
Sydney FC 2 - 2 Auckland FC
Sydney FC 0 - 0 Perth Glory
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Sydney FC 0 - 1 Melbourne City