Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.