May 16, 2026 10.40am

1

1

ET McDonald Jones Stadium

Xavier Bertoncello 69'
Ben Gibson 80'
Kota Mizunuma 90'
Eli Adams 90'+6'
Zach Clough 101'
Kosta Grozos 101'

Piero Quispe 64'
Rhys Youlley 73'
Víctor Campuzano 76'
P. Wood 87'
Ahmet Arslan 97'
Joe Lolley 97'

Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

D
W
D
D
L
W

Australian A-League

D
W
D
D
L
W

Last game

May 9, 2026 10.40am

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Eli Adams

Sydney FC

All competitions

D
W
D
D
W
D

Australian A-League

D
W
D
D
W
D

Last game

May 9, 2026 10.40am

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Tiago Quintal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle Jets 41.07% ▼ (-0.75)

Draw 23.95% ▲ (+0.51)

Sydney FC 34.99% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score:

62.02% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.86% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 18.14% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 2.5 60.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 39.23% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 3.5 37.96% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 3.5 62.04% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 4.5 23.15% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 4.5 76.85% ▲ (+0.26)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Jets 35.58% ▲ (+0.63)

Draw 37.41% ▼ (-1.73)

Sydney FC 27% ▲ (+1.08)

Team To Score First

Newcastle Jets 46.06% ▼ (-2.19)

No Goal 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)

Sydney FC 49.36% ▲ (+2.15)

Corners

Over 8 62.3% ▼ (-0.45)

Equal 8 11.08%

Under 8 26.62% ▲ (+0.45)

Over 9 50.62% ▼ (-0.39)

Equal 9 11.68% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 9 37.7% ▲ (+0.45)

Over 10.5 39.34% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 10.5 60.66% ▲ (+0.28)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 1.5 45.68% ▼ (-0.50)

Under 1.5 54.32% ▲ (+0.50)

Over 2.5 21.53% ▼ (-0.53)

Under 2.5 78.47% ▲ (+0.54)

Over 3.5 8.73% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 3.5 91.27% ▲ (+0.24)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.15% ▲ (+0.47)

Under 0.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.47)

Over 1.5 40.79% ▲ (+0.47)

Under 1.5 59.21% ▼ (-0.47)

Over 2.5 17.63% ▲ (+0.36)

Under 2.5 82.37% ▼ (-0.36)

Over 3.5 6.25% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 3.5 93.75% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 41.07%

Draw 23.96%

Sydney FC 34.98%

Newcastle Jets

2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.08)

1-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.06)

3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)

3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.13)

3-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.13)

Other @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.31)

Total : 41.07%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.21)

2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.17)

0-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.07)

Total : 23.96%

Sydney FC

1-2 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.17)

0-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.06)

0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.09)

1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.09)

2-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.09)

Total : 34.98%

Head to Head

May 9, 2026 10.40am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Juventus Stadium

Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 50'
Ahmet Arslan 66'
P. Wood 66'
Joe Lolley 77'
Víctor Campuzano 86'

Eli Adams 58'
Xavier Bertoncello 65'
Zach Clough 65'
Kosta Grozos 75'
Kota Mizunuma 76'

Mar 22, 2026 4.00am

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Juventus Stadium

Tiago Quintal 46'
Al Hassan Touré 61'
Jordan Courtney-Perkins 65'
Tiago Quintal 67'
P. Wood 75'
Rhys Youlley 75'

Kota Mizunuma 32'
Xavier Bertoncello 59'
L. Scicluna 59'
Ben Gibson 75'
Alex Nunes 90'+1'
Ben Gibson 90'+3'

Dec 20, 2025 6.00am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Mark Natta 14'
Will Dobson 66'
Lachlan Rose 71'
Lachlan Rose 72'
Xavier Bertoncello 84'
Lachlan Bayliss 90'+4'
90'+4'

Piero Quispe 90'+1'

Nov 1, 2025 6.00am

1

4

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 20, 2025 6.00am

3

2

HT : 2 4

FT Allianz Stadium

Douglas Costa 36'
Douglas Costa 36'
Anas Ouahim 45'+2'
Anas Ouahim 45'+2'
Adrian Segecic 55'
Adrian Segecic 55'
Jaiden Kucharski 83'
Jaiden Kucharski 83'

Charles M'Mombwa 9'
Charles M'Mombwa 9'
Lachlan Rose 18'
Lachlan Rose 18'
Kota Mizunuma 22'
Kota Mizunuma 22'
Aleksandar Susnjar 73'
Aleksandar Susnjar 73'

Jan 4, 2025 6.00am

2

2

HT : 2 0

FT McDonald Jones Stadium

Daniel Wilmering 31'
Daniel Wilmering 31'
Aaron Gurd 45'
Aaron Gurd 45'
Phillip Cancar 59'
Phillip Cancar 59'
Clayton Taylor 72'
Clayton Taylor 72'

Hayden Matthews 64'
Hayden Matthews 64'
Anthony Caceres 69'
Anthony Caceres 69'
Joe Lolley 78'
Joe Lolley 78'
Anthony Caceres 89'
Anthony Caceres 89'
Zachary De Jesus 90'+4'
Zachary De Jesus 90'+4'

Form Data

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Central Coast

Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Adelaide United

Macarthur 3 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC 1 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Victory 0 - 1 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 2 - 2 Auckland FC

Sydney FC 0 - 0 Perth Glory

Western Sydney 0 - 2 Sydney FC

Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 Sydney FC