Oct 18, 2026 3.00am

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Westpac Stadium

Corban Piper 14'
Riley Bidois 77'

Charles Nduka 24'
Philipp Ziereis 45'
Denis Genreau 71'

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

L
W
L
W
W
W

Australian A-League

L
W
L
W
W
W

Last game

Apr 24, 2026 10.35am

Macarthur 4 - 0 Wellington

Goals scored

2

Top scorer

Corban Piper

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

L
W
D
D
L
W

Australian A-League

L
W
D
D
L
W

Last game

May 2, 2026 10.40am

Victory 0 - 1 Sydney FC

Goals scored

1

Top scorer

Charles Nduka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 29.15% ▼ (-0.14)

Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Melbourne Victory 46.29% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score:

56.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 21.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 54.94%

Under 2.5 45.06%

Over 3.5 32.04% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 3.5 67.96% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 18.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 81.32% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 21.1%

Draw 40.34%

Melbourne Victory 38.56%

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 35.47% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 5.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Melbourne Victory 58.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.71%

Equal 8 9.34%

Under 8 20.95%

Over 9 59.26%

Equal 9 10.45%

Under 9 30.29%

Over 10.5 48.48%

Under 10.5 51.52%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 32.49% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 1.5 67.51% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 2.5 12.57% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 2.5 87.43% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 3.5 3.91% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 96.09% ▲ (+0.05)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 0.5 22.93% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 1.5 47.07% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 1.5 52.93% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 2.5 22.02% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 2.5 77.98% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 8.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 91.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 29.14%

Draw 24.56%

Melbourne Victory 46.29%

Wellington Phoenix

2-1 @ 7.01%

1-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.05)

3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 2.1%

Other @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Total : 29.14%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.02)

2-2 @ 5.78%

3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 24.56%

Melbourne Victory

1-2 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.03)

0-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.04)

1-3 @ 4.62%

0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)

2-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 46.29%

Head to Head

Apr 5, 2026 6.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Jason Davidson 22'
Charles Nduka 46'
Louis D'Arrigo 68'
Matthew Grimaldi 68'
Reno Piscopo 68'
Clarismario 88'

Lukas Kelly-Heald 61'
Sander Kartum 73'
Fin Conchie 83'
Carlo Armiento 84'
Luke Brooke-Smith 84'
Sander Kartum 89'
Manjrekar James 90'+1'

Feb 6, 2026 6.00am

2

3

HT : 1 2

FT Westpac Stadium

Carlo Armiento 39'
Luke Brooke-Smith 68'
Corban Piper 77'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 82'
Matthew Sheridan 82'
Matt Sheridan 82'
Roderick Miranda 84'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 84'
Matthew Sheridan 84'

Sebastian Esposito 10'
Nishan Velupillay 44'
Keegan Jelacic 63'
Matthew Grimaldi 63'
Matthew Grimaldi 64'
Keegan Jelacic 64'
Louis D'Arrigo 76'
Nikolaos Vergos 76'
Nikos Vergos 76'
Louis D'Arrigo 77'

Dec 29, 2025 8.00am

5

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Nikolaos Vergos 7'
Nikolaos Vergos 42'
Nikolaos Vergos 47'
Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 55'
Keegan Jelacic 90'
Adama Traore 90'+4'

Ramy Najjarine 29'
Manjrekar James 45'+2'

Apr 12, 2025 6.00am

2

3

HT : 2 4

FT Westpac Stadium

Corban Piper 10'
Corban Piper 10'
Paulo Retre 75'
Paulo Retre 75'

Nishan Velupillay 4'
Nishan Velupillay 4'
Zinedine Machach 45'+1'
Zinedine Machach 45'+1'
Nikolaos Vergos 50'
Nikolaos Vergos 50'
Lachlan Jackson 57'
Lachlan Jackson 57'
Brendan Hamill 78'
Brendan Hamill 78'

Feb 14, 2025 8.35am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Nikolaos Vergos 57'
Nikolaos Vergos 58'
Joshua Rawlins 65'
Mitchell Langerak 90'+4'

Matthew Sheridan 75'
Sam Sutton 89'

Nov 24, 2024 2.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Stadium

Alex Rufer 62'
Alex Rufer 62'
Kosta Barbarouses 82'
Kosta Barbarouses 82'

Kasey Bos 30'
Kasey Bos 30'

Form Data

Macarthur 4 - 0 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 1 Western Sydney

Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington

Victory 0 - 1 Wellington

Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 0 Perth Glory

Victory 0 - 1 Sydney FC

Western Sydney 0 - 2 Victory

Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory

Victory 0 - 1 Wellington

Victory 4 - 1 Central Coast