Europa League
Aston Villa
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Bologna
  • Ollie Watkins 16' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 25' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 26' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 39' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 64' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 74' yellowcard
  • Jadon Sancho 74' yellowcard
  • Lamare Bogarde 78' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 89' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 46'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 46'
  • yellowcard Nadir Zortea 46'
  • yellowcard Jens Odgaard 76'
  • yellowcard Torbjørn Heggem 82'

Aston Villa vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Bologna

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Aston Villa 43.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 25.05%
Bologna 31.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.34% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.89% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 31.46%
Draw 42%
Bologna 26.53%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 49.16%
No Goal 6.25%
Bologna 44.59%

Corners

Over 8 53.17%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 35.26%
Over 9 41.8%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 46.83%
Over 10.5 31.52%
Under 10.5 68.48%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 44.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 55.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 20.13% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 7.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 66.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.2%
Under 3.5 95.8%

Score analysis

Aston Villa 43.62%
Draw 25.06%
Bologna 31.32%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 43.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.06%
Bologna
0-1 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 31.32%

Head to Head

Europa League
Bologna
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Aston Villa
  • Nikola Moro 67' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 67' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 68' yellowcard
  • Nikola Moro 68' yellowcard
  • Jens Odgaard 82' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rowe 90' goal
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ezri Konsa 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 51'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 80'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 88'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'+4'
Europa League
Aston Villa
Sep 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bologna
Champions League
Aston Villa
Oct 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Bologna
  • Ross Barkley 50' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Jhon Duran 64' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 19'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 45'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 47'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 53'

Form Data

Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Elche
Aston Villa 2 - 0 West Ham
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Lille
Man Utd 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Bologna 2 - 0 Lecce
Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa
Cremonese 1 - 2 Bologna
Bologna 0 - 2 Lazio
Roma 3 - 4 Bologna
Sassuolo 0 - 1 Bologna

Build-up

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