Liberia vs Sao Tome & Principe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.