World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
2 - 1
Sao Tome

Kenneh (4'), Farkarlun (32')
Dweh (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Costa (44')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Liberia and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Tunisia
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Sao Tome
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
74.96% ( -0.66)	18.05% ( 0.4)	6.99% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 30.89% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

-0.64)

55.48% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.53)

76.67% (

0.53)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

-0.39)

13.31% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.84% (

-0.79)

40.15% (

0.79)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.63% (

0.31)

64.36% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.27% (

0.14)

92.72% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Liberia 74.95%

Sao Tome & Principe 6.99%

Draw 18.05%

Liberia	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 17.42% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 17.27% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 74.95%	0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.05%	0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 6.99%