World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Emilio Nsue
14'
-
Ivan Salvador
17'
-
Esteban Obiang
32'
-
Basilio Ndong
90'+2'
-
Ronaldo Lumungo Afonso
36'
Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome & Principe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 4.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
Result
Equatorial Guinea
82.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
13.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Sao Tome & Principe
4.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
28.42%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.9%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
47.1%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
30.66%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
69.34%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
15.13%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
84.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
91.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
8.89%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
69.58%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
30.42%
▲
(+0.06)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5
31.19%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
68.81%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
5.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
94.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Equatorial Guinea
82.8%
Draw
13.04%
Sao Tome & Principe
4.14%
Equatorial Guinea
2-0
@
17.91%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 14.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 14.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 82.8%
1-0 @ 14.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 14.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 82.8%
Draw
0-0
@
6.12%
▲
(+0.03)
1-1 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 13.04%
1-1 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 13.04%
Sao Tome & Principe
0-1
@
2.29%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 4.14%
1-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 4.14%