World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
2 - 0
Sao Tome

Nsue (14'), Salvador (17')
Obiang (32'), Ndong (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lumungo Afonso (36')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 3-0 Eq Guinea
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 4.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
82.82% ( -0.01)	13.04% ( 0.01)	4.14% ( -0)

Both teams to score 28.42% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

-0.08)

47.1% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

-0.07)

69.34% (

0.08)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.11% (

-0.02)

8.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.58% (

-0.05)

30.42% (

0.05)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.19% (

-0.06)

68.81% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.47% (

-0.02)

94.53% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 82.8%

Sao Tome & Principe 4.14%

Draw 13.04%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 17.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 82.8%	0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 13.04%	0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 4.14%