World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Eq Guinea2 - 0Sao Tome
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome & Principe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Togo 3-0 Eq Guinea
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 4.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
82.82% ( -0.01) | 13.04% ( 0.01) | 4.14% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 28.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
