Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Austria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Algeria win was 2-1 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.