Welsh Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Callum West 35' yellowcard
  • Jason Oswell 46' yellowcard
  • Zeli Ismail 64' yellowcard
  • Joseph Bennett 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Waterhouse 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Cumming 43'
  • yellowcard Jordan Davies 46'
  • yellowcard Issa Kargbo 46'
  • yellowcard Aaron Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Aron Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 79'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
New Saints 2 - 1 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Harry Franklin

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 2.30pm
Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 Caernarfon
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 44.66% (-0.14)
Draw 25.04% (+0.17)
Colwyn Bay 30.3% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.58% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 22.02% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 55.5% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 44.5% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 32.22% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 67.78% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 18.65% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.35% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Connah's Quay Nomads 34.7% (+0.49)
Draw 39.52% (-0.54)
Colwyn Bay 25.78% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Connah's Quay Nomads 52.93% (+1.93)
No Goal 6.05% (+0.05)
Colwyn Bay 41.02% (-1.97)

Corners

Over 8 55.1% (-0.65)
Equal 8 11.71% (+0.04)
Under 8 33.19% (+0.61)
Over 9 43.42% (-0.61)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.04)
Under 9 44.9% (+0.65)
Over 10.5 32.72% (-0.54)
Under 10.5 67.28% (+0.55)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 1.5 45.46% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.54% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.17% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.8% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.2% (+0.02)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 66.92% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 33.08% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 33.8% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 66.2% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 13.02% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.98% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.16% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.84% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 44.65%
Draw 25.04%
Colwyn Bay 30.29%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.79% (+0.24)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.89% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.57% (-0.07)
Total : 44.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.06)
Total : 25.04%
Colwyn Bay
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.93% (-0.01)
Total : 30.29%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Jan 24, 2026 5.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Llanelian Road
  • Jordan Davies 49' goal
  • Ethan Roberts 53' yellowcard
  • Ryan Astles 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ryan Astles 90'+7' goal
  • goal Jacob Cook 34'
  • goal Callum West 40'
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 55'
  • yellowcard Freddie Redshaw 55'
  • yellowcard Zeli Ismail 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dan Cowan 90'+4'
Welsh Premier League
Dec 5, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Franklin 11' goal
  • 28' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 66' goal
  • 80' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Williams 87'
  • yellowcard 90'
Welsh Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Jamie Cumming 28' goal
  • Udoyen Akpan 75' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 13'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 26'
  • goal Jordan Davies 37'
  • goal Harry Franklin 52'
  • yellowcard Callum Morris 74'
  • goal Michael Wilde 78'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • John Disney 20' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 59' goal
  • Jordan Davies 60' goal
  • Callum Bratley 70' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Holmes 59'
  • goal Udoyen Akpan 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Downes 90'+2'