Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.