Welsh Premier League
Mar 28, 2026 2.30pm
Brewery Field

Pen-y-Bont vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
New Saints 0 - 2 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Pen-y-Bont has a probability of 34.14% and a draw has a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win is 1-0 (10.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result

Pen-y-Bont 34.14% (+0.01)
Draw 27.11% (+0.04)
Colwyn Bay 38.74% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.12% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.14% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.86% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.88% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 55.12% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 23.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.13% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 12.72% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.28% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 28.01% (+0.03)
Draw 41.66%
Colwyn Bay 30.33% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 43.76% (+0.11)
No Goal 8.91% (+0.05)
Colwyn Bay 47.33% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 56.71% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.07)
Under 8 31.78% (+0.23)
Over 9 45.08% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.05)
Under 9 43.29% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 34.29% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 65.71% (+0.32)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 31.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.27% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.37% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.63% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.02)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 69.44% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30.56% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.25% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.75% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.77%
Under 2.5 86.23%
Over 3.5 4.36%
Under 3.5 95.64%

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 34.15%
Draw 27.12%
Colwyn Bay 38.75%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44% (+0.03)
Total : 34.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.91% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.12%
Colwyn Bay
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • George Hughes 32' goal
  • Ryan Astles 55' goal
  • Jamie Cumming 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 69' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 69' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 86' goal
  • Issa Kargbo 90' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Daley 52'
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 57'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 67'
  • yellowcard Alexander Cvetkovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ioan Phillips 88'
Welsh Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 2.30pm
5
4
HT : 4 2
FT
  • Jamie Cumming 5' goal
  • Sol Forde 9' goal
  • Jordan Davies 20' goal
  • Jordan Davies 29' goal
  • Jordan Davies 48' goal
  • Jordan Davies 64' yellowcard
  • goal James Crole 8'
  • goal Mael Davies 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 64'
  • goal Ioan Phillips 90'+1'
  • goal Owen Pritchard 90'+4'
Welsh Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Lewys Ware 26' goal
  • Chris Venables 53' goal
  • Keyon Reffell 54' goal
  • Kane Owen 59' goal
  • Ioan Phillips 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Creamer 36'
  • redcard Tom Creamer 51'
  • yellowcard Harry Owen 59'
  • yellowcard Owen Cushion 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Matthew Hill 90'+2' goal
  • goal Chris Venables 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jefferies 50'
  • goal Lincoln McFayden 55'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Sam Downey 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 66' yellowcard
  • Matthew Hill 68' goal
  • Udoyen Akpan 75' goal
  • Cai Owens 84' yellowcard
  • Joe Smith 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Keyon Reffell 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 90'+5'