Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.