Welsh Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Llanelian Road
  • George Hughes 32' goal
  • Ryan Astles 55' goal
  • Jamie Cumming 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 69' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 69' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 86' goal
  • Issa Kargbo 90' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Daley 52'
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 57'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 67'
  • yellowcard Alexander Cvetkovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ioan Phillips 88'

Colwyn Bay vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 7.45pm
Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 New Saints
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Colwyn Bay 49.19% (+0.47)
Draw 22.93% (-0.61)
Pen-y-Bont 27.92% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.5% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 18.5% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 61.02% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 38.98% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 37.95% (-1.08)
Under 3.5 62.05% (+1.08)
Over 4.5 23.4% (-0.95)
Under 4.5 76.6% (+0.94)

First Half Winner

Colwyn Bay 36.89% (-0.44)
Draw 36.13% (+0.29)
Pen-y-Bont 26.97% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Colwyn Bay 54.71% (-0.77)
No Goal 4.92% (-0.04)
Pen-y-Bont 40.37% (+0.80)

Corners

Over 8 63.33% (+1.99)
Equal 8 10.83% (+0.05)
Under 8 25.84% (-2.04)
Over 9 51.79% (+1.75)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.23)
Under 9 36.67% (-1.99)
Over 10.5 40.54% (+1.40)
Under 10.5 59.46% (-1.40)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 1.5 51.41% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 48.59% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 26.37% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 73.63% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 11.57% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 88.43% (+0.55)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 64.44% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 35.56% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 33.57% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 66.43% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 13.69% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 86.31% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 4.49% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 95.51% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Colwyn Bay 49.2%
Draw 22.94%
Pen-y-Bont 27.92%
Colwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.15% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 6.7% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.44% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.04)
Other @ 11.41% (-0.33)
Total : 49.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.22)
Total : 22.94%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.49% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.5% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.33% (-0.09)
Total : 27.92%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 2.30pm
5
4
HT : 4 2
FT
  • Jamie Cumming 5' goal
  • Sol Forde 9' goal
  • Jordan Davies 20' goal
  • Jordan Davies 29' goal
  • Jordan Davies 48' goal
  • Jordan Davies 64' yellowcard
  • goal James Crole 8'
  • goal Mael Davies 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 64'
  • goal Ioan Phillips 90'+1'
  • goal Owen Pritchard 90'+4'
Welsh Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Lewys Ware 26' goal
  • Chris Venables 53' goal
  • Keyon Reffell 54' goal
  • Kane Owen 59' goal
  • Ioan Phillips 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Creamer 36'
  • redcard Tom Creamer 51'
  • yellowcard Harry Owen 59'
  • yellowcard Owen Cushion 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Matthew Hill 90'+2' goal
  • goal Chris Venables 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jefferies 50'
  • goal Lincoln McFayden 55'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Sam Downey 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 66' yellowcard
  • Matthew Hill 68' goal
  • Udoyen Akpan 75' goal
  • Cai Owens 84' yellowcard
  • Joe Smith 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Keyon Reffell 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 90'+5'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Henry Jones 85' yellowcard
  • Ryan Reynolds 86' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 88' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 90' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 32'
  • yellowcard Stefan Edwards 56'
  • goal Alex Downes 76'