Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.