Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.04% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%) , while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.