Welsh Premier League
Jan 24, 2026 5.15pm
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
New Saints 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jordan Davies

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
Caernarfon 2 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Harry Franklin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Colwyn Bay has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win is 2-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.79%).

Result

Colwyn Bay 31.56%
Draw 24.67%
Connah's Quay Nomads 43.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.56%
Under 1.5 21.44%
Over 2.5 55.79%
Under 2.5 44.21%
Over 3.5 33.26%
Under 3.5 66.74%
Over 4.5 19.7%
Under 4.5 80.3%

First Half Winner

Colwyn Bay 27.48%
Draw 38.13%
Connah's Quay Nomads 34.39%

Team To Score First

Colwyn Bay 41.74%
No Goal 5.72%
Connah's Quay Nomads 52.54%

Corners

Over 8 54.62%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 33.97%
Over 9 43.28%
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 45.38%
Over 10.5 32.9%
Under 10.5 67.1%

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 1.5 35.43%
Under 1.5 64.57%
Over 2.5 14.49%
Under 2.5 85.51%
Over 3.5 4.74%
Under 3.5 95.26%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 75.71%
Under 0.5 24.29%
Over 1.5 46.14%
Under 1.5 53.86%
Over 2.5 20.86%
Under 2.5 79.14%
Over 3.5 8.1%
Under 3.5 91.9%

Score analysis

Colwyn Bay 31.56%
Draw 24.68%
Connah's Quay Nomads 43.76%
Colwyn Bay
2-1 @ 7.29%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 31.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.68%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-1 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.98%
Other @ 7.63%
Total : 43.76%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Dec 5, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Franklin 11' goal
  • 28' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 66' goal
  • 80' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Williams 87'
  • yellowcard 90'
Welsh Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Llanelian Road
  • Jamie Cumming 28' goal
  • Udoyen Akpan 75' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 13'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 26'
  • goal Jordan Davies 37'
  • goal Harry Franklin 52'
  • yellowcard Callum Morris 74'
  • goal Michael Wilde 78'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • John Disney 20' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 59' goal
  • Jordan Davies 60' goal
  • Callum Bratley 70' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Holmes 59'
  • goal Udoyen Akpan 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Downes 90'+2'