Welsh Premier League
Connah's Quay Nomads vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 28.49% and a draw has a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.13%).
Result
Connah's Quay Nomads
49.09%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
22.42%
▼
(-0.28)
Caernarfon Town
28.49%
▲
(+0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
59.54%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.66%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
18.34%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 2.5
60.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
39.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
38.43%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
61.57%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 4.5
23.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
76.72%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
Connah's Quay Nomads
37.97%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
37.68%
▼
(-0.62)
Caernarfon Town
24.35%
▲
(+0.84)
Team To Score First
Connah's Quay Nomads
57.52%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
4.66%
▼
(-0.19)
Caernarfon Town
37.82%
▲
(+0.22)
Corners
Over 8
54.04%
▼
(-3.74)
Equal 8
11.88%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 8
34.08%
▲
(+3.37)
Over 9
42.28%
▼
(-3.76)
Equal 9
11.76%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 9
45.96%
▲
(+3.74)
Over 10.5
31.6%
▼
(-3.48)
Under 10.5
68.4%
▲
(+3.49)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 1.5
51.61%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
48.39%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
26.22%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
73.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
11.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
88.75%
▼
(-0.02)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5
65.16%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 0.5
34.84%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 1.5
33.85%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
66.15%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 2.5
13.72%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
86.28%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
4.44%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
95.56%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Connah's Quay Nomads
49.09%
Draw
22.41%
Caernarfon Town
28.48%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 49.09%
1-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 49.09%
Draw
1-1
@
10.13%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.41%
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.41%
Caernarfon Town
1-2
@
6.72%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.48%
Head to Head
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
22
-
Phil Mooney
25'
-
Rio Owen
58'
-
Connor Salisbury
75'
-
Phil Mooney
81'
-
Callum Bratley
2'
-
James Jones
28'
-
Rhys Hughes
59'
-
Max Woodcock
85'
-
Freddie Redshaw
85'
Welsh Premier League
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
18
-
Rhys Hughes
34'
-
Chris Marriott
69'
-
Ben Nash
71'
-
Noah Edwards
82'
-
Paulo Mendes
15'
-
Adam Davies
61'
-
Ryan Sears
65'
-
Phil Mooney
83'
-
Phil Mooney
88'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
10
-
Paulo Mendes
18'
-
Darren Thomas
28'
-
Darren Thomas
45'+1'
-
Zack Clarke
56'
-
Ryan Sears
85'
-
Joe Faux
90'+7'
-
Chris Marriott
38'
-
John Disney
83'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
6
-
Dion Donohue
15'
-
Louis Lloyd
53'
-
Marc Williams
58'
-
Marc Williams
90'+4'
-
Dan Roberts
65'
-
Jordan Davies
90'+6'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
1
-
Michael Wilde
59'
-
Callum Bratley
70'
-
Ryan Harrington
75'
-
Callum Morris
90'+4'
-
Adam Davies
22'
-
Marc Williams
89'