Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.