Welsh Premier League
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Jenner Park

Barry Town United vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
Barry 1 - 0 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Ollie Hulbert

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
Colwyn Bay 3 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barry Town United win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw has a probability of 20.33% and a win for Pen-y-Bont has a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%) , while for a Pen-y-Bont win it is 1-2 (4.62%).

Result

Barry Town United 63.02% (-0.60)
Draw 20.33% (+0.19)
Pen-y-Bont 16.64% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.14% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.88% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 20.12% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 58.84% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 41.11% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.32% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 63.68% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 23.38% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 76.62% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Barry Town United 43.41%
Draw 36.4%
Pen-y-Bont 20.19%

Team To Score First

Barry Town United 62.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.21% (+0.02)
Pen-y-Bont 32.63% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.02% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 28.24% (+0.01)
Over 9 47.82% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.2%
Under 9 39.98% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.27%
Under 10.5 63.73%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 1.5 59.51% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 40.49% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 34.15% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 65.85% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 16.45% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 83.55% (+0.32)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 51.71% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 48.29% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 21.27% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 78.73% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 6.21% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 93.79% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.47% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Barry Town United 63.02%
Draw 20.33%
Pen-y-Bont 16.65%
Barry Town United
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.1% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.64%
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 16.36% (-0.29)
Total : 63.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 20.33%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 4.62% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.29% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.51% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.57% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.44% (+0.06)
Total : 16.65%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Dec 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Welsh Premier League
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Kayne McLaggon 22' goal
  • Keenan Patten 44' yellowcard
  • Kayne McLaggon 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 41'
  • yellowcard James Crole 53'
  • goal Chris Venables 62'
  • goal Clayton Green 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Przybek 87'
  • yellowcard Adam Przybek 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 25' yellowcard
  • Clayton Green 42' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 52' goal
  • Lewis Harling 76' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 78' goal
  • Nathan Wood 83' goal
  • Chris Venables 85' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Snaith 37'
  • goal Harrison Bright 40'
  • yellowcard Keenan Patten 67'
  • yellowcard Ollie Hulbert 75'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Evan Press 45' yellowcard
  • Rhys Davies 48' yellowcard
  • Keenan Patten 52' yellowcard
  • Rhys Davies 57' redcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 90'+2' redcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 90'+2' yellowcard
  • M 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Feb 10, 2024 12.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Chris Venables 24' redcard
  • Mark Little 25' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 51' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 62' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 64' goal
  • Keyon Reffell 76' goal
  • Daniel Jefferies 82' yellowcard
  • goal Aiden Lewis 19'
  • yellowcard Ollie Hulbert 25'
  • goal Sam Snaith 71'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cotterill 79'
  • yellowcard Curtis McDonald 82'
  • yellowcard Keenan Patten 86'