Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%) , while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.