Welsh Premier League
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Barry 0 - 0 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Ieuan Gwyn Owen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Barry Town United has a probability of 25.4% and a draw has a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Barry Town United win is 1-2 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.79%).

Result

Caernarfon Town 52.82% (-0.08)
Draw 21.78%
Barry Town United 25.4% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.88% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.24% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.76% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 62.68% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 37.32% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 41.63% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 58.37% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.41% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.59% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 40.04% (-0.04)
Draw 35.26% (+0.02)
Barry Town United 24.7% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 57.91% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.96%
Barry Town United 38.13% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.46% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 30.18% (-0.02)
Over 9 46.82% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 41.54% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.87% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.13% (-0.02)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 55.68% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 44.32% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 30.11% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 69.89% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 13.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 86.25% (+0.02)

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5 62.59% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.41% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.34% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.26% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.32%
Under 3.5 95.68%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 52.83%
Draw 21.77%
Barry Town United 25.4%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 7.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 13.59% (-0.01)
Total : 52.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 21.77%
Barry Town United
1-2 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.95% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.16% (+0.01)
Total : 25.4%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Oct 11, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 7, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Apr 26, 2025 12.15pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 23' goal
  • Danny Gosset 43' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 45'+1' goal
  • Adam Davies 46' goal
  • Danny Gosset 49' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 58' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 73' goal
  • 78' yellowcard
  • goal Eliot Richards 6'
  • yellowcard Owen James Cuddihy 57'
  • yellowcard Ieuan Gwyn Owen 64'
  • yellowcard Robbie Willmott 80'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 83'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 84'
  • goal Kayne McLaggon 86'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 35' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 44' goal
  • Zack Clarke 49' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 49' yellowcard
  • Matthew Jones 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Kavanagh 14'
  • goal Mike George 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Snaith 33'
  • redcard Josh Yorwerth 34'
  • yellowcard Luc Rees 42'
  • yellowcard Callum Sainty 43'
  • goal Ben Margetson 51'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Jenner Park
  • Sam Snaith 10' goal
  • Mike George 79' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Lloyd 9'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT The Oval
  • Louis Lloyd 12' goal
  • Adam Davies 32' goal
  • Phil Mooney 33' yellowcard
  • Phil Mooney 38' redcard
  • Danny Gosset 44' yellowcard
  • Ben Maher 79' yellowcard
  • goal Harrison Bright 26'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cotterill 44'
  • goal Jordan Cotterill 56'
  • yellowcard Ben Blythe 63'
  • yellowcard Callum Sainty 69'
  • goal Ollie Hulbert 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Kayne McLaggon 90'+6'