Welsh Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Owen James Cuddihy 62' yellowcard
  • Keenan Patten 62' yellowcard
  • Jac Norris 75' yellowcard
  • D. Smith 75' yellowcard
  • Jack Norris 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 90' goal
  • yellowcard Zeli Ismail 64'
  • yellowcard Jack Kenny 72'
  • yellowcard Freddie Redshaw 72'
  • yellowcard Dan Roberts 81'

Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
Caernarfon 0 - 2 Barry
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ollie Hulbert

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Harry Franklin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 37%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-0 (9.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Barry Town United 36.68% (+0.05)
Draw 26.36% (+0.06)
Connah's Quay Nomads 37% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.4% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.6% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.05% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 50.95% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 26.97% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.98%
Over 4.5 14.51% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.49% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Barry Town United 29.53%
Draw 41.01% (+0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads 29.46% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Barry Town United 44.58% (+0.18)
No Goal 8.11% (+0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads 47.31% (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 48.56% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.03% (+0.04)
Under 8 39.41% (-0.13)
Over 9 37.15% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.06)
Under 9 51.44% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 27.2%
Under 10.5 72.8%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 1.5 36.09% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.91% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.39% (-0.02)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 69.13% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.87% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.88% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.12% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.57% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.43% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Barry Town United 36.68%
Draw 26.36%
Connah's Quay Nomads 37%
Barry Town United
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 8.06% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.91% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 36.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.11% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38%
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 26.36%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.63% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.48% (-0.05)
Total : 37%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Rhys Hughes 44' yellowcard
  • Freddie Redshaw 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Callum West 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Zeli Ismail 68' yellowcard
  • Callum West 73' goal
  • Noah Edwards 78' goal
  • Rhys Hughes 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ieuan Owen 19'
  • yellowcard D. Smith 71'
Welsh Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 24' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Margetson 19'
  • yellowcard Ben Margetson 35'
  • goal Ieuan Gwyn Owen 71'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 74'
  • redcard Ben Margetson 78'
  • yellowcard Owen James Cuddihy 80'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Jenner Park
  • Ryan Kavanagh 30' yellowcard
  • Robbie Willmott 82' yellowcard
  • Ollie Hulbert 88' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Edwards 44'
  • yellowcard Dan Roberts 46'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 61'
  • yellowcard Kris Owens 77'
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 88'
  • goal Sam Durrant 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Jenner Park
  • Kayne McLaggon 23' goal
  • Ieuan Gwyn Owen 74' goal
  • Ryan Kavanagh 84' yellowcard
  • Ieuan Gwyn Owen 88' goal
  • yellowcard Rhys Hughes 57'
  • goal Rhys Hughes 58'
  • goal Rhys Hughes 85'
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 90'+6'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT University Stadium
  • Chris Marriott 37' yellowcard
  • Jack Kenny 40' goal
  • yellowcard Evan Press 43'
  • goal Ollie Hulbert 54'
  • yellowcard Keenan Patten 61'
  • yellowcard Harrison Bright 82'
  • yellowcard Ben Margetson 83'
  • goal Ollie Hulbert 89'